Wednesday, May 18, 2011

May 17, 2011

Business / Economic / Financial

[ This link to a somewhat more cumulative blog posts page will precede current days news since most all topics remain current in terms of impact and longer-term effect and can be searched by topical index term more easily. The same is provided since the blog site http://alpeiablog.blogspot.com has just been censored as to size by google which is typical for google as nsa / cia / gov’t shill as more are becoming aware of. The same is true for microsoft, another co. that’s seen their best days and relies on the government to maintain their monopoly. Up to now the better page http://www.scribd.com/alpeia is provided for ease of formatting and clarity thereby while the Washington Post page is the real deal but without formatting http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp- srv/community/mypost/index.html?plckPersonaPage=PersonaComments&plckUserId=alpeia&newspaperUserId=alpeia (Only up to 3-11-11-you must be logged in - (Washington Post) [ Comments COMMENTS ARE CLOSED WHILE WE UPGRADE OUR SYSTEMS ] the comments are no longer archived on their site ) . The following is the cumulative archive of blog posts / topics for 2010 as the new year starts anew (and archived by quarter): http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.htm or PDF formatted version
http://albertpeia.com/December312010postsarchive.pdf ]

Floyd Norris Blog Housing Starts: Still Dead NORRIS Home construction is at a new low, and for good reasons. But wouldn't it be nice to put all those unemployed people to work building something we need? (New York Times) [ ‘Wouldn’t it be nice’ … Sounds like a Beach Boys song … then there are tooth fairies, etc.. The very bad news hardly affects the fraudulent stock market as we saw in the last hour’s trading with suckers’ rally to keep the suckers sucked in. Then of course, there’s reality, which of course, is not lost on insiders. A storm gathers over equities markets (Reuters) Stock Market: 4 Current Warning Signs Navin ‘…

1) The 5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565 sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher. Yes, it’s normal for insiders to be selling some of their stocks so they can buy new yachts and some of this is pre-planned. But that ratio — which has spiked recently — is extraordinarily high, one might even say off-the-chart.

2) Professor Shiller at Yale figures that the present price-to-earnings ratio for the Standard & Poor’s 500 is in the area of 26. The historical average is about 16.

3) The failure of the financial sector to keep up is a significant negative divergence for the entire market.

4) Key market leaders are rolling over in price... ‘

Market's Risk/Reward Ratio Remains Poor McCurdy ‘The S&P 500 index has been in a secular bear market since 2000 and our Secular Trend Score (STS) indicates that we remain in the middle stage of its development (click to enlarge images):

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540693393499-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

This is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! Remember: ‘Sell in May and go away! …

America Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog | It’s now mainstream news that none of the big financial criminals have been prosecuted. This is the grim economic reality [ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm ]. Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding / April Is a Good Time to Sell Adler Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar

Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding 24 Signs Of Economic Decline In America ‘The US is in the middle of a devastating long-term economic decline’ ] States face shortfall for retirees (WP) (The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed. Dave's Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money-- … an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! America Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog / the grim economic reality [ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm ]. Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar ... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued …only time the markets have been more overvalued .. 1929 & tech bubble. http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/4/12/saupload_cape_thumb1.png PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows ]

British queen arrives in Ireland Queen Elizabeth II’s visit overshadowed by security scares. (Washington Post) [ ‘How sweet she is’ … that ‘sweet liz’ … that is … Diana film causes stir at Cannes “Unlawful Killing” has a combination of celebrity, controversy and canny hype-mongering. (Washington Post) [ Let’s not kid ourselves … and, Dodi Fayed’s father was no dope and knew the score. Indeed, it’s not coincidental that William’s the over-riding favorite of granny Liz II; after all, Harry’s the bastard son of Hewitt (don’t buy into their DNA proffer which they did buy – you know, that ‘bloodline thing’). Moreover, it was reported that Diana had another ‘potential challenger in the oven’ at the time of her death and we all know how dicey such english affairs of state can be (ie., Henry VIII, Richard III, etc.). Then there’s the contempt of Diana for having brought the son of her bosom, Chas, down. Do I think she said flat out ‘kill Diana’. No … more of a ‘do what’s necessary’ to mi6 et als. Ultimately, William will require some substantial therapy to sort out this looming conflict. After all, Diana was his mother. Drudgereport: British woman decapitated in grocery store; killer flees with head... Cannes: Diana doc slams UK royals as 'gangsters'... Though having but 5% of the world’s population, u.s. has 76% of the world’s serial killers, http://www.albertpeia.com/realifeamericaserialkillers.mpg bankrupt america also spends more on military than all the nations of the world combined... fed employees / contractors, cia, all 3 branches of u.s. gov’t, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm ]:

CRIME STATISTICS >(america is No. 1).

Rank

Countries

Amount

# 1

United States:

11,877,218

# 2

United Kingdom:

6,523,706

# 3

Germany:

6,507,394

Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche 'The worst part of it ...Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place’ ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billions from the fraud ). UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE... In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ' Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud WP | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ]


In Rust Belt, new jobs but smaller wages The nation’s factories have added 250,000 jobs since the beginning of last year — about 13 percent of what was lost during the recent recession — marking the first sustained increase in manufacturing employment since 1997. But the new hiring also reflects another emerging reality of U.S. manufacturing. In the Rust Belt, glimmers of a new shine Stocks erase declines as shares advance (Washington Post) [ Come on! Wake up! Just another round of pre-election, make-shift, taxpayer-subsidized talking points. . 24 Signs Of Economic Decline In America ‘The US is in the middle of a devastating long-term economic decline’ ] States face shortfall for retirees (WP) (The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed), and have used the mideast turmoil to obfuscate their failure. Dave's Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money-- … an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! America Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog / the grim economic reality [ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm ]. Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar ... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued …only time the markets have been more overvalued .. 1929 & tech bubble. http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/4/12/saupload_cape_thumb1.png PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Bernanke prepares to make history (WP) [ He already has! $6 gas acomin’.. hyperinflation as predicted well on the way from over-printing of fiat paper currency by fed as predicted, etc., Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar 'Despite the terrible economic performance of the past ten years, equity valuations are the 2nd largest bubble in U.S. history... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued according to this valuation metric. The only time the markets have been more overvalued was a few brief months in 1929 and the tech bubble

... growth in earnings have been artificially manufactured...

· The change in accounting rules for the financial sector by FASB has generated massive “false” account profits beginning in 2009…’

Treasury to tap pensions to fund government (WP)

New math for debt compromise With the “Gang of Six” down a member, Sen. Chambliss will need to be the one selling any deal. (Washington Post) [ How ‘bout no math, which certainly would be consistent. After all, in Washington, when has math ever mattered... . Davis ‘This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ . Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government ... 5-1-11 / U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every 3 days ... http://whatreallyhappened.com/WRHARTICLES/osama_dead.php

ON MAY 1, 2011, JUST MOMENTS BEFORE PRESIDENT OBAMA ANNOUNCED THAT THE US HAD KILLED OSAMA BIN LADEN, THE WHATREALLYHAPPENED WEBSITE CAME UNDER MASSIVE DISTRIBUTED DENIAL OF SERVICE ATTACK. THIS PAGE, WHICH DOCUMENTS THAT OSAMA BIN LADEN ACTUALLY DIED IN DECEMBER OF 2001, APPEARS TO BE WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DIDN'T WANT AVAILABLE WHILE THE NEW PROPAGANDA WAS "CATAPULTED FORWARD". IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS IS THE OPENING GAMBIT IN A PLAN TO STAGE A "REVENGE" ATTACK FROM "AL QAEDA" ON THE UNITED STATES, WITH WHICH TO JUSTIFY TOTAL WAR ON THE MIDDLE EAST.

Bin Laden's voice was detected regularly until [12-14-01] by intelligence operatives monitoring radio transmissions in Tora Bora, according to the Pentagon [details]. Since then, nothing has been heard from the al-Qa'eda leader ..[Telegraph, 12/28/2001]

Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government

Osama bin Laden is dead. The news first came from sources in Afghanistan and Pakistan almost 6 mos ago: the fugitive died in December [2001] and was buried in the mountains of southeast Afghanistan. Pakistan's president, Pervez Musharraf, echoed the information. ..

..Osama bin Laden would not have.. remained silent for so long if he were still alive. He always liked to take credit even for things he had nothing to do with …[NYT 7-11-02]

FOX News Report: Bin Laden Already Dead

CIA’s stealth drones watched bin Laden house Sophisticated new stealth aircraft flew dozens of secret missions deep into Pakistani airspace in an effort to capture high-resolution video that satellites could not provide, U.S. officials say. Pakistani troops, NATO helicopters engage in firefight 6th soldier charged in plot to kill Afghan civilians (Washington Post) [ Gen. Hamid Gul: U.S. Generals Provoking War with Pakistan Jones | Hamid Gul, former ISI chief, talks about NATO firing on Pakistani troops and the prospect of WWIII. Ludicrous Bin Laden “Porno” Claim Harks Back To CIA Fakery Watson | Spooks admitted creating hoax videotapes of Osama talking about having sex with boys. [ Yeah! This is becoming preposterous and it’s quite amazing that anyone’s believing anything they say. Next thing you know, they’ll be saying beyond the porn stash, Bin Laden was a closet Christian. Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government ... May 1, 2011 ... U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every 3 days ... http://whatreallyhappened.com/WRHARTICLES/osama_dead.php 5-1-11, JUST MOMENTS BEFORE PRESIDENT OBAMA ANNOUNCED THAT THE US HAD KILLED OSAMA BIN LADEN, THE WHATREALLYHAPPENED WEBSITE CAME UNDER MASSIVE DISTRIBUTED DENIAL OF SERVICE ATTACK. THIS PAGE, WHICH DOCUMENTS THAT OSAMA BIN LADEN ACTUALLY DIED IN DECEMBER OF 2001, APPEARS TO BE WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DIDN'T WANT AVAILABLE WHILE THE NEW PROPAGANDA WAS "CATAPULTED FORWARD". IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS IS THE OPENING GAMBIT IN A PLAN TO STAGE A "REVENGE" ATTACK FROM "AL QAEDA" ON THE UNITED STATES, WITH WHICH TO JUSTIFY TOTAL WAR ON THE MIDDLE EAST… FLASHBACK: Editorial: US in quagmire Seeing the warm welcome extended to the Afghan president on his US trip, it is hard to believe that only weeks ago Washington was seething with anger and frustration at Hamid Karzai’s behavior and there were even dark mutterings by US officials that he might be mad. War in Afghanistan and Iraq costs America $1trillion From the Old | On May 30th at 10:06 the United States reached the point where they have spent $1trillion on the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq. Editorial: Bin Laden raid no vindication of torture (Washington Post) [ While I don’t disagree with this Editorial, I do disagree with the premise; viz., that they truly sought to prevent that ultimate ‘pearl harbor event’, to ratchet up the war spending / military industrial complex welfare plan with broad based enthusiasm / support. Even war-monger mccain supports this which also finds support in international law, treaties, conventions.I can only wonder what the presence of substantially underrated President General Eisenhower would have meant, and truly believe this entire debacle and the nation’s decline would have been avoided. “All In All It Appears That Eisenhower’s Worst Fears Have Been Realized And His Remarkable And Unique Warnings Given For Naught”

The Magic Inflation Rate: 5.3% Elfenbein ‘I downloaded Professor Robert Shiller’s historical stock market data to see how inflation has impacted stock returns. I had done this before with data from Ibbotson. Those numbers go back to 1925, but Professor Shiller’s numbers go back to 1871.

I wanted to see how the stock market performed at different rates of inflation. I took the after-inflation total return of each month from 1871 through 2010.

I found that the magic number is 5.3%. If the annualized inflation rate for the month is under 5.3%, the stock market has performed very well. But when inflation is above 5.3%, the market does poorly. It’s pretty amazing how well this relationship has held up over 140 years. Historically, monthly inflation has been above 5.3% about one-third of the time.

My calculations show that when inflation is below 5.3%, the stock market has had an annualized after-inflation gain of 9.59%. When inflation is above 5.3%, then stock market has had an annualized loss of 8.15%. Stretched out over 140 years, that’s a loss of nearly 98%.

(Click chart to expand) http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/17/saupload_image1112.png

Industrial Production Continues Drumbeat of Downbeat Data Gongloff ‘Here we go again, with another disappointing economic report: The culprit of the moment is industrial production, which was flat in April, the Fed reports. Dismal scientists had expected a 0.4% gain. March production was revised lower, just for an extra dash of bitter.Let’s see, what else? Manufacturing production fell 0.4% last month, the first decline since June 2010 and the biggest since mid-2009. So that’s not good, either. Supply-chain disruptions in Japan apparently had a bigger effect than economists realized: Production of motor vehicles and parts dropped 8.9%.And here’s a blow to the inflationistas: Capacity utilization fell to 76.9% in April from a downwardly revised 77% in March. Factories aren’t running anywhere near normal capacity.You cut this report in half, and you’ll see softness all the way through.This steady drumbeat of economic disappointment — remember Empire State and the NAHB survey yesterday, along with housing starts this morning — is weighing on stocks and commodities. The Dow is off 64 points. The 10-year note is yielding less than 3.12%, the lowest of the year and breaking through a key technical level. Oil is below $97 a barrel.At least for this moment, contra global fund managers, bad news is just bad news.’

Why Are Investors Fearful? Here are 19 Answers Khaner May 17, 2011 ‘It's hold-your-breath time as investors worry about inflation, housing, the end of QE2, the Mississipi flood and more.

Investors are worried. The end of QE2 is in sight, the Brits are talking about inflation, and the future of oil, housing and the US economy looks uncertain. Add to these the economic threat posed by Mississippi River flood waters, and you've got countless sleepless nights. Here's a look at all the issues making the market nervous this week. For more on how to use Lloyd's Wall of Worry, see below.

QE II: Much ado about nothing? Or much ado about something? Place yer bets, place yer bets! Tick, tick, tick…

U.S. ECONOMY: Inventory built, inventory sold, inventory built, inventory sold. “And the beat goes on...” This is going to be our economic path until further notice so dig the groove, `cause it’s the only disc we got to spin.

UNEMPLOYMENT: We added 244,000 new jobs! Not ready to body surf the crowd to "The Boys Are Back In Town" yet but it's a solid six-digit number.

U.S. DEBT CEILING: “Going up, she said, uh, huh…” And it's just a matter of when, not if. Still worth fretting about though.

INVESTOR SENTIMENT: Mom & Pop investors still getting’ their ya-yas out by pouring their savings into the equity markets. Here's hoping they don't suddenly throw their ya-yas into reverse and give us a Main Street flash crash.

HOUSING CRISIS: Markets worldwide still looking pricey. I saw a listing for a rectangular, poured concrete split-level in a high-end military suburb of Pakistan that’s going for a million clams! Even with free weekly goat delivery thrown in, it still seems steep.

INFLATION: Said to be “uncomfortably high” in London. Given the Brits penchant for understatement, that translates into “my pants are on fire and I can’t afford to buy any water to put them out.”

SAUDI ARABIA: No one can convince me that they aren’t quietly calling all the shots in the Middle East. Hope somebody whispers to them that there's no room for error here.


STOCK MARKET TECHNICALS: The technical signals aren’t flashing anything definitive and the current low volume, tight equity trading range is just too tough when you’re trying to make an honest living scalping a vulnerable market. Is nothing sacred anymore?

FLOODS: “High water rising, the shacks are sliding down, folks lose their possessions -- folks are leaving town…” It's hold-your-breath time as the Mississippi is flooding and the Louisiana gulf oil refineries may be threatened.

OIL PRICES: We get to $3.50 per gallon by July 1 and all is well. We get to $3 per gallon by July 1 and all is well and riding in a new stretch SUV Land Yacht! “It’s a party in the USA!"

ARAB SPRING: “Spring has sprung, the grass has ris’, I wonder where the birdies is?” Answer: Any place but the Middle East!

LIBYA: Turkey, their last best friend and biggest toe, just threw in the towel on them. C’mon Libby, walk away before they carry you away.

JAPAN: Lost 3.2 million jobs in March alone. Insert audible “Gasp” here.

CHINA: The Tony Soprano School of Management springs to life. China starts punishing companies for publicly announcing that they're about to raise prices on their products. “You woke up this morning, the world turned upside down...”

RING OF FIRE + SPAIN: Talk about getting kicked when you’re down. And since when does Europe get into the earthquake act?

CURRENCIES: The American Buck wakes from its deep slumber and bucks hyper-levered commodity traders right in the assets.

SOVEREIGN DEBT: Hoopah! Hoopah! Greece is still livin’ large and partying in the face of fiscal austerity promises. Unfortunately all of Europe will get a hangover from this seemingly never ending bacchanal.

COMMODITIES: Correct me if I’m wrong but are oil, gold and silver staging freakishly odd crashes every other day or is it just me? When you come up with the answer just look for me under my desk.


What Is Lloyd's Wall of Worry?
By Lloyd Khaner

Since the 1930s, when Benjamin Graham created the concept of "Mr. Market," investors have been trying to figure out what events or fears are influencing the market. Investors call this body of concerns the "Wall of Worry."

Oddly, no one has ever kept a list of the worries, except for me. I've been managing money for the last 20 years and keeping a running tally of all the things that are bothering investors. It's an important part of my value investment discipline, because when Mr. Market gets nervous, stocks tend to get cheaper.

As Warren Buffett says: "Be fearful when others are greedy and be greedy when others are fearful."

Click on the image below to view the interactive Wall of Worry page.

http://www.minyanville.com/investing/lloyds-wall-of-worry/5/17/2011

Human Hair Now More Valuable Than US Dollar ‘According to the New York Times, thieves breaking into beauty parlors are more interested in making off with hair extensions than cash.
"One indication of how quickly the focus of some thieves has shifted to high-end hair is the experience of the Beauty One hair supply store in Chicago: two years ago, thieves went after the store’s cash, but last month, they bypassed the register altogether and took just the hair, which was valued at $90,000," reporter Timothy Williams writes…’




Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding Stocks slip after three-day rally (Washington Post) [ Top 3 Reasons Markets Tanked with Oil WSCS…

1) Commodities and Oil got slaughtered. .. widening trade gap.

2) Insiders finally getting busted.. but what about what large banks, investment banks, and mortgage companies did to the US economy…these insider trading cases are basically sideshows…

Fed official calls for vigilance (WP) [ Who’s still buying their b***s***! Much higher prices / inflation’s already here. 24 Signs Of Economic Decline In America ‘The US is in the middle of a devastating long-term economic decline’ ] States face shortfall for retirees (WP) (The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed), and have used the mideast turmoil to obfuscate their failure. Dave's Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money-- … an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! America Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog / the grim economic reality [ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm ]. Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding / April Is a Good Time to Sell Adler Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar ... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued …only time the markets have been more overvalued .. 1929 & tech bubble. http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/4/12/saupload_cape_thumb1.png PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Bernanke prepares to make history (WP) [ He already has! $6 gas acomin’.. hyperinflation as predicted well on the way from over-printing of fiat paper currency by fed as predicted, etc., Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar 'Despite the terrible economic performance of the past ten years, equity valuations are the 2nd largest bubble in U.S. history... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued according to this valuation metric. The only time the markets have been more overvalued was a few brief months in 1929 and the tech bubble

... growth in earnings have been artificially manufactured...

· The change in accounting rules for the financial sector by FASB has generated massive “false” account profits beginning in 2009…’

Pension plan draws ire of workers Proposal to raise payroll deductions of federal workers could make public sector work less attractive.
Diary: Federal workers are raising the roof Treasury to tap pensions to fund government (Washington Post) [ Most people thought this to be beyond the realm of possibility; yet, it’s happening and far worse is yet to come, their desperation being seen in so many ways. As far as public sector ‘work’ being less attractive, let’s not forget the fact that these non-productive, over-paid, over-valued public employees, like those of the u.s. postal service, are otherwise unemployable, and as such, tend to favor party-campaign benefactors as, ie., fraudulent wall street, etc.. Market's Risk/Reward Ratio Remains Poor McCurdy ‘The S&P 500 index has been in a secular bear market since 2000 and our Secular Trend Score (STS) indicates that we remain in the middle stage of its development :

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540693393499-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

..Butler|Philbrick & Associates conducted a study that combined the Shiller CAPE ratio, the Q-Ratio, long-term price deviations and total return trends. The following graph from DShort.com displays 15-year actual stock market returns and projected returns since 1900 ..

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-13054033822883-Erik-McCurdy.png

With a couple of notable exceptions, actual returns have tracked projected returns almost exactly during the past 110 years. .. this model projects that stocks will return -0.5% during the next 10 years and 0.6% during the next 15 years.. stocks are likely to produce no gains for the next 15 years. .. However, the fact remains that stocks are priced to deliver historically poor returns as investment vehicles for the foreseeable future.

While valuation-based forecasting models project a poor long-term outlook, chart analysis and internal data also suggest that the stock market has entered a period of heightened risk from an intermediate-term perspective. ..

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540340946043-Erik-McCurdy.png

The rally is now 26 months old and cyclical bulls that occur during secular bears..

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540342919514-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540344803643-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-13054034630148-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-13054034630148-Erik-McCurdy.png

Finally, our sentiment score recently declined to the lowest level since late 2007, reflecting an excessive amount of bullish sentiment that leaves the stock market vulnerable to an abrupt, violent decline.

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540347838945-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

Lawmakers rebuff restitution (Washington Post) Investors in an alleged Ponzi scheme say their pleas for reimbursement fall on deaf ears. ‘While Allen Stanford was flying high, he and his colleagues spent more than $10 million on campaign contributions and lobbying payments to curry favor in Washington. But all that money was diverted from investors in what authorities have called an elaborate Ponzi scheme, second only to Bernard Madoff’s in U.S. history, according to court documents…’ [ No surprise here from the accomplices / facilitators of frauds such as this which are plentiful in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america.

A storm gathers over equities markets (Reuters) Stock Market: 4 Current Warning Signs Navin ‘…

1) The 5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565 sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher. Yes, it’s normal for insiders to be selling some of their stocks so they can buy new yachts and some of this is pre-planned. But that ratio — which has spiked recently — is extraordinarily high, one might even say off-the-chart.

2) Professor Shiller at Yale figures that the present price-to-earnings ratio for the Standard & Poor’s 500 is in the area of 26. The historical average is about 16.

3) The failure of the financial sector to keep up is a significant negative divergence for the entire market.

4) Key market leaders are rolling over in price... ‘

Market's Risk/Reward Ratio Remains Poor McCurdy ‘The S&P 500 index has been in a secular bear market since 2000 and our Secular Trend Score (STS) indicates that we remain in the middle stage of its development (click to enlarge images):

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540693393499-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

This is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! Remember: ‘Sell in May and go away! …

America Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog | It’s now mainstream news that none of the big financial criminals have been prosecuted. This is the grim economic reality [ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm ]. Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding / April Is a Good Time to Sell Adler Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar

Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding 24 Signs Of Economic Decline In America ‘The US is in the middle of a devastating long-term economic decline’ ] States face shortfall for retirees (WP) (The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed. Dave's Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money-- … an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! America Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog / the grim economic reality [ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm ]. Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar ... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued …only time the markets have been more overvalued .. 1929 & tech bubble. http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/4/12/saupload_cape_thumb1.png PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows

Study: $2 trillion for infrastructure U.S. is falling dramatically behind in rebuilding and expanding its transportation network, study says. (Washington Post) [ As if that was all pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america was falling behind in. Moreover, even the simplistic answer, ‘you can’t spend what you don’t have’, is regrettably inapposite. The problem is, defacto bankrupt america is spending what it doesn’t really have. More importantly, pervasively corrupt america is spending what it doesn’t really have on war, and such other manipulations as fraudulent wall street, most of which is immediately or ultimately a net negative in real economic terms. Davis ‘This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ . Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government ... 5-1-11 / U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every 3 days ... http://whatreallyhappened.com/WRHARTICLES/osama_dead.php

ON MAY 1, 2011, JUST MOMENTS BEFORE PRESIDENT OBAMA ANNOUNCED THAT THE US HAD KILLED OSAMA BIN LADEN, THE WHATREALLYHAPPENED WEBSITE CAME UNDER MASSIVE DISTRIBUTED DENIAL OF SERVICE ATTACK. THIS PAGE, WHICH DOCUMENTS THAT OSAMA BIN LADEN ACTUALLY DIED IN DECEMBER OF 2001, APPEARS TO BE WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DIDN'T WANT AVAILABLE WHILE THE NEW PROPAGANDA WAS "CATAPULTED FORWARD". IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS IS THE OPENING GAMBIT IN A PLAN TO STAGE A "REVENGE" ATTACK FROM "AL QAEDA" ON THE UNITED STATES, WITH WHICH TO JUSTIFY TOTAL WAR ON THE MIDDLE EAST.

Bin Laden's voice was detected regularly until [12-14-01] by intelligence operatives monitoring radio transmissions in Tora Bora, according to the Pentagon [details]. Since then, nothing has been heard from the al-Qa'eda leader ..[Telegraph, 12/28/2001]

Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government

Osama bin Laden is dead. The news first came from sources in Afghanistan and Pakistan almost 6 mos ago: the fugitive died in December [2001] and was buried in the mountains of southeast Afghanistan. Pakistan's president, Pervez Musharraf, echoed the information. ..

..Osama bin Laden would not have.. remained silent for so long if he were still alive. He always liked to take credit even for things he had nothing to do with …[NYT 7-11-02]

FOX News Report: Bin Laden Already Dead

Dionne: Why did the media fall for Trump? (Washington Post) [ In addition to being a mobster, trump was / is always a joke and a certifiable mental case. The real question is why the media continues to fall for wobama. SEC urged to ease fundraising rules (Washington Post) [ REDUNDANT! I mean come on! Any more ‘easing’ and we’d be in negative territory where they actually reward you for breaking the rules which is currently the reality in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, meaningfully lawless america. Roche 'The worst part of it ...Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place’ ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ). UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE... In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ' Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud WP | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on military spending than all the nations of the world combined... federal employees / contractors, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality ( http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm ). That perverse field of dreams I’ve previously alluded to, the american nightmare, if you build / contrive war, they will come. And, they do; seals of them (among others); and when their ‘tours’ are done, it’s murder inc./contract killing for hire that they’ve won (cia, mob, etc.). The 20th century, the ‘bloodiest century’, not coincidentally referred to as the american century, brings longings of nostalgia to american criminals who, like Pavlov’s dogs salivate at the prospect of killing, raping, pillaging, and plundering which primitive mindset they have mistakenly been conditioned to connect to their now irretrievably lost success as a nation state; and to the contrary, has become globally and domestically self-destructive / self-defeating. The entire 911 / Bin Laden scenario just doesn’t pass the smell test and reeks of political desperation and Orwellian opportunism.

U.S. speeds up direct talks with Taliban Officials say they hope the negotiations, initiated several months ago, will enable President Obama to report progress in ending the Afghan war when he announces troop withdrawals in July. (Washington Post) [ Well, no biggy … after all, they’ve been reporting and will continue reporting ‘progress’ regardless of the reality and prospectively why should we expect the truth, particularly in this so called election cycle. Even MSNBC’s Chris Matthews Admits the CIA is Engaging in “Psy-Ops” With The Bin Laden Raid Youtube Bin Laden’s “One Million Page Cache” Will Be Used To Legitimize Official 9/11 Fable Paul Watson | The White House claims it has recovered one million pages of data from the Bin Laden compound… That’s exactly what they want … for the benefit of the military industrial complex that has steadily drained the dwindling resourses of this country to defacto bankruptcy. Editorial: Bin Laden raid no vindication of torture (Washington Post) [ While I don’t disagree with this Editorial, I do disagree with the premise; viz., that they truly sought to prevent that ultimate ‘pearl harbor event’, to ratchet up the war spending / military industrial complex welfare plan with broad based enthusiasm / support. Even war-monger mccain supports this which also finds support in international law, treaties, conventions.I can only wonder what the presence of substantially underrated President General Eisenhower would have meant, and truly believe this entire debacle and the nation’s decline would have been avoided. “All In All It Appears That Eisenhower’s Worst Fears Have Been Realized And His Remarkable And Unique Warnings Given For Naught” [ I personally believe, and the factual, historical realities support that President General Eisenhower is without question the most under-rated president in america’s short-lived history. Is there anyone who foolishly would believe this man (Ike) of honor, the quintessential General / Commander in Chief would be sacrificing lives (american among many others) and treasury for the sake of war profiteers, greed, fraud, etc., as now? ] President Eisenhower’s warned us about the growing threat from the military-industrial complex – and it’s threat to our prosperity – 50 years ago. Eisenhower’s Worst Fears Have Been Realized Washington’s Blog | All in all it appears that Eisenhower’s worst fears have been realized and his remarkable and unique warnings given for naught. ….. Indeed, 911 itself; that ‘pearl harbor event’ so sought by the neo-cons / war mongers still defies explanation (ie., the ‘stand-down order’, symmetrical implosions, foreknowledge by some {who conveniently ‘missed the party’ that day}, etc.. Some links, echoing the disbelief akin to the ‘Jessica Lynch’, Tillman, etc., affairs follow. People must realize that though having but 5% of the world’s population, america can boast 76% of the world’s serial killers and the highest crime rates in the world by far. That perverse field of dreams I’ve previously alluded to, the american nightmare, if you build / contrive war, they will come. And, they do; seals of them (among others); and when their ‘tours’ are done, it’s murder inc./contract killing for hire that they’ve won (cia, mob, etc.). The 20th century, the ‘bloodiest century’, not coincidentally referred to as the american century, brings longings of nostalgia to american criminals who, like Pavlov’s dogs salivate at the prospect of killing, raping, pillaging, and plundering which primitive mindset they have mistakenly been conditioned to connect to their now irretrievably lost success as a nation state; and, to the contrary, has become globally and domestically self-destructive / self-defeating. The entire 911 / Bin Laden scenario just doesn’t pass the smell test and reeks of political desperation and Orwellian opportunism.

Ludicrous Bin Laden “Porno” Claim Harks Back To CIA Fakery Paul Joseph Watson | Spooks admitted creating hoax videotapes of Osama talking about having sex with boys. [ Yeah! This is becoming preposterous and it’s quite amazing that anyone’s believing anything they say. Next thing you know, they’ll be saying beyond the porn stash, Bin Laden was a closet Christian. Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government ... May 1, 2011 ... U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every 3 days ... http://whatreallyhappened.com/WRHARTICLES/osama_dead.php ON MAY 1, 2011, JUST MOMENTS BEFORE PRESIDENT OBAMA ANNOUNCED THAT THE US HAD KILLED OSAMA BIN LADEN, THE WHATREALLYHAPPENED WEBSITE CAME UNDER MASSIVE DISTRIBUTED DENIAL OF SERVICE ATTACK. THIS PAGE, WHICH DOCUMENTS THAT OSAMA BIN LADEN ACTUALLY DIED IN DECEMBER OF 2001, APPEARS TO BE WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DIDN'T WANT AVAILABLE WHILE THE NEW PROPAGANDA WAS "CATAPULTED FORWARD". IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS IS THE OPENING GAMBIT IN A PLAN TO STAGE A "REVENGE" ATTACK FROM "AL QAEDA" ON THE UNITED STATES, WITH WHICH TO JUSTIFY TOTAL WAR ON THE MIDDLE EAST… [ infra, for article text ] FLASHBACK: Editorial: US in quagmire Seeing the warm welcome extended to the Afghan president on his US trip, it is hard to believe that only weeks ago Washington was seething with anger and frustration at Hamid Karzai’s behavior and there were even dark mutterings by US officials that he might be mad. War in Afghanistan and Iraq costs America $1trillion From the Old | On May 30th at 10:06 the United States reached the point where they have spent $1trillion on the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.

The US Debt Limit Breach Is Now A Cartoon You asked for it, and Next Media Animation delivers.

Eric Sprott Discusses Silver’s Prospects And Last Week’s Raid With Max Keiser Eric Sprott, who according to some catalyzed the initial move lower in silver following his sale of PSLV units, to be followed by a bullish clarification that he transferred all proceeds into other silver holdings, was on Max Keiser late last week in an interview that anyone interested in the silver market should listen to.

‘We are 100% certain that governments will start banning bitcoins in the next 12 to 18 months.’ Well, they can’t stop people from transferring bitcoins to each other. As long as the Internet exists, bitcoins can be sent and received around the world.

Strauss-Kahn sex scandal obscures real IMF story RT | Attention turned towards the IMF this week, but it didn’t concern the looming economic crisis.

Treasury to Raid Pensions to Pay for Government Operations Washington Post | Geithner has warned for months that the government would soon hit the $14.3 trillion debt ceiling.

(5-17-11) Dow 12,479 -69 Nasdaq 2,783 -0- S&P 500 1,329 -1 [CLOSE- OIL $98.10 (-54% for year 2008) (RECORD TRADING HIGH $147.27) GAS $3.95 (reg. gas in LAND OF FRUITS AND NUTS $4.26 REG./ $4.36 MID-GRADE/$4.46 PREM./ $4.55 DIESELL) / GOLD $1,488 (+24% for year 2009) / SILVER $34.05 (+47% for year 2009) PLATINUM $1,769 (+56% for year 2009) Metal News for the Day / DOLLAR= .69 EURO, 80 YEN, .61 POUND STERLING, ETC. (How low can you go - LOWER)/ Interest Rates: http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/Pages/TextView.aspx?data=yield 10 YR NOTE YIELD 3.11% …..… AP Business Highlights ...Yahoo Market Update... T. Rowe Price Weekly Recap – Stocks / Bonds / Currencies - Domestic / International This Is a Secular Bear Market and The End of Buy and Hold … and Hope The bull market that never was/were beyond wall street b.s. when measured in gold ‘WORST ECONOMIC COLLAPSE EVER’ Must Read Economic / Financial Data This Depression is just beginning The coming depression… thecomingdepression.net The Next Wave of Collapse is Coming Sooner than you think Sliding Back Into the Great Depression ABSOLUTELY, ABSURDLY, RIDICULOUS! SELL / TAKE PROFITS WHILE YOU CAN SINCE MUCH, MUCH WORSE TO COME!

National / World

Gen. Hamid Gul: U.S. Generals Provoking War with Pakistan TheAlexJonesChannel | Hamid Gul, former ISI chief, talks about NATO firing on Pakistani troops and the prospect of WWIII.

US Ready To Swap Occupation of Afghanistan For War On Pakistan? Paul Joseph Watson | NATO attacks military outpost and Islamabad calls on China for support as tensions rise.

TSA Responds To Texas: Resistance is Futile Steve Watson | Agency perverts meaning of Constitutional protections in response to state’s new law against federal groping.

Spokane Photographers Considered Suspicious al-Qaeda Types Kurt Nimmo | Photography considered suspicious and possibly criminal, the same as theft and physical intrusion.

Globalists’ Secret Weapon Exposed: Tech Kill Chips Infowars | In addition to Obama’s stranglehold on the Internet, all smart devices have federally-mandated control and kill switches added.

‘Gaddafi Least of Our Problems, Try Blair & Bush For War Crimes’ RT | RT talks to British investigative journalist Tony Gosling about the intensification of the bombardment of Libya.

The Truth about ‘Civilized Transitions’: NATO’s Civilizing Bloodbath in Libya “What about giving Gaddafi an exit strategy?” — Channel 4 News presenter to somebody or other, 16 May, 2011. This is what it comes down to: A TV ‘news’ presenter reveals in all its starkness, how the Empire corrupts totally.

Oils of War: Pentagon Cementing Iraq Footprint? RT | Publicly, the US says nations must be self-determinate; Behind the scenes there’s more interference.

Congress To Vote On Declaration of Worldwide Perpetual War; No Borders, No Clear Enemies Intel Hub | The legislation authorizes the President to take unilateral military action against all hostile nations, organizations, and persons.

Abbottabad Neighbor Claims Bin Laden Raid Was Botched According to a close neighbor who watched the alleged US raid on Osama Bin Laden’s compound from his rooftop, the operation was almost immediately aborted because of a helicopter crash that killed several people, eyewitness testimony that completely contradicts the official narrative put out by the White House.

US Ready To Swap Occupation of Afghanistan For War On Pakistan? With the Obama administration fast approaching a July deadline that mandates troops be withdrawn from Afghanistan, Pakistan is moving into the cross hairs as the next targeted conquest of the “war on terror,” with NATO helicopters launching an attack on a Pakistani military outpost today, triggering a firefight that injured two soldiers, as Pakistan moves closer to China in an effort to avoid geopolitical isolation.

Secret Service Interrogates 7th Grader For Facebook Post A Tacoma seventh grader faced federal interrogation at school for what he posted on his Facebook page. His mom said it all happened without her knowledge or permission.

TSA Responds To Texas: Resistance is Futile The TSA has issued a laughable response to the news that the state of Texas has passed a bill to officially make it a misdemeanor to pat-down breasts, buttocks, or genitals.

Satellite Dish ‘Added’ To Bin Laden Compound After Dubious Videos Released by White House? The satellite dish only appeared at Bin Laden’s alleged compound after the White House released dubious video showing “Osama” flicking through satellite TV channels. Before this time, media reports stated that the compound did not have satellite TV.

New Eco-fascist Light Bulbs to Cost $50 Each Get ready to shell out big bucks for light bulbs. Beginning in January, conventional light bulbs will be outlawed by the state. You will have to buy organic light-emitting diode bulbs that cost $50.

‘Gaddafi Least of Our Problems, Try Blair & Bush For War Crimes’ RT talks to British investigative journalist Tony Gosling about the intensification of the bombardment of Libya, NATO war crimes, and why the ICC is pursuing Gaddafi while leaving proven war criminals Bush and Blair alone.

Nearly 20 percent of new Obamacare waivers are gourmet restaurants, nightclubs, fancy hotels in Nancy Pelosi’s district Of the 204 new Obamacare waivers President Barack Obama’s administration approved in April, 38 are for fancy eateries, hip nightclubs and decadent hotels in House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi’s Northern California district.

While You Were Sleeping, They Abolished the Fourth Amendment Two recent Supreme Court cases have served to virtually abolish the Fourth Amendment in the United States of America, with citizens no longer being “secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures.”

10 Indications The United States Is A Dictatorship

For a people to be free, they must first be honest with themselves, their government, and the world at large. History is filled with stories of free nations that fell under the spell cast by their governments who exploited the threat of terror…

1. Rule by force, not by law: This is where it all begins; when the legal framework that serves to define a country and its behavior is dismantled and intimidation tactics take over. In the most extreme case, drone bombings and assassinations have begun of non-citizens, as well as U.S. citizens, leading only to a debate over whether U.S. citizens should be stripped of citizenship before assassination. Governmental assassinations are in complete opposition to the laws of America and all international laws and agreements. In the last week we have also seen the official elimination of the 4th Amendment in Indiana, which is a clear precedent-setting ruling to say that the State now believes that it owns the property and person of its citizens. As a result, the militarized police have been granted unlimited access, which will only cause an escalation in cases of police brutality and misconduct. This is yet another addition to the precedent set by TSA groping and sexual harassment in airports, Child Protective Services kidnapping children of activists in pro-liberty causes, public school surveillance, and the lawless detention of activists who videotape the police. All areas of society are now ruled top-down through state legislation adopted to justify federal grants that have installed a police state apparatus in America. And these federal agencies such as the TSA actually believe they rule supreme over the states. We now live in a country where CIA abductions, overseas detention, torture and assassinations can be carried out against Americans without due process and without recourse if later cleared. Consequently, an atmosphere has been created where the government is permitted to break countless laws, like warrantless GPS tracking of activists by the FBI, while average citizens are guilty of pre-crimes. The increase in executive power under the aegis of National Security is our greatest threat and has led to all that follows.

2. Crushing peaceful protest: Despite the current mission to defend protesters living in dictatorships overseas, when George Bush brought “free speech zones” to America it effectively spelled the end of peaceful, lawful street protest. Now the full force of brutality and surveillance has been unleashed upon the very people intent in stopping it through peaceful means. It is as sure a sign as any about totalitarian intentions, when anti-war activists have become one of the targets. The activist is beginning to equal terrorist in the all-seeing eye of the State, and any street gathering is a sure sign to let loose all of the riot weapons that were formerly used against insurgents on foreign battlefields. One look at the G20 protest in Pittsburgh, a recent Illinois University event, and the ongoing travesty of the torture and incarceration of Bradley Manning, and we can begin to see through the propaganda of White House officials when they talk about terrible dictators in other nations crushing dissent.

3. Checkpoints: The slow acclimation of the populace to military-style checkpoints began first as border control operations up to 100 miles inland in what the ACLU calls the Constitution Free Zone. However, this has rather quickly morphed into local traffic stops across the country for “unsavory” characters such as those targeted by the Amber Alert system and DUI checkpoints. Though apparently well meaning, we are now far beyond even loosely suspected criminal activity, as VIPR teams have been introduced to take over public transportation and events. The TSA tyranny has hit the streets of America, now forming a de facto internal passport system straight out of the totalitarian playbook. The expanding checkpoint system dovetails with new initiatives such as the No Ride List proposal of Chuck Shumer, building upon the No Fly List already in place. These no-travel lists are extrajudicial, secret, and form a guilty-until-proven innocent framework that subverts freedom instead of protecting it. Incidentally, this element of constant suspicion is exactly what leads to a citizen spy network.

4. Citizen spy network: Dictatorships know how difficult it is to rule over large populations with only the relatively small numbers of military and police. Despite the lessons of terror created by citizen surveillance that the East German Stasi files left us to examine, just such a network has been openly introduced to present-day America — and now it’s even more high-tech and populated. Secret black budget projects organized through the NSA like Perfect Citizen is just one among many. Our head of Homeland Security, Janet Napolitano — in partnership with retailer Wal-Mart – kicked off the See Something, Say Something program, which goes beyond the already high-tech surveillance apparatus of the NSA and turns each of us into an unpaid employee of the police state. Similarly, the web of cameras and data mining is far too massive for even the well-funded NSA, but with gadgets at our disposal we can now download apps to enable spying on our neighbors. Most dangerous of all, though, is new legislation introduced by Peter King that enshrines Janet Napolitano’s program and would provide immunity for accusers “acting in good faith” while reporting suspicious activities. This is guaranteed to lead to false arrests and disappearances, just as it has on every occasion throughout history when a society’s fear becomes self-directed.

5. Executive Orders: This is means by which a dictator can come to power in the United States, despite a framework of checks and balances. Any time a country has centralized its power to the executive branch by erasing the checks and balances of separate legislative and judicial bodies, the result has been dictatorship. And this normally happens when national security is “threatened.” The Constitution is clear, however: only the legislature (Congress) can make laws. Yet, the use of Executive Orders has increased, beginning with President Clinton who came under fire for his abuse of this power, becoming one of only two presidents (the other was Truman’s E.O. 12954) to have an Executive Order struck down by the courts. His successors seem only to have been encouraged. Clinton issued 14, George W. issued over 60, and Obama is at 26 with many more to be expected if he wins a second term. Among the most egregious of Obama’s orders is the ability to hold detainees indefinitely even after a court has found them not guilty. Executive Orders also form the basis for control over regulatory agencies, which then impose the directives. While it seems multi-layered with potential checks and balances, all directives can now be issued top-down in dictatorial fashion.

6. Control of regulatory agencies: This is the more insidious and, ultimately, dangerous tactic used by dictatorships. Dictatorship through regulation invades every facet of society without relying only upon overt violence. As mentioned above, only the legislature can make laws. However, the legislature has created “regulatory bodies” which make de facto laws through “violations” that rob us of freedom. There is no clearer example at the moment than the FDA, which has brought in near-total food control. The FDA is working in concert with a global agenda being foisted upon us through the Codex Alimentarius commission in Europe which essentially renders anything healthy as toxic, and all that is toxic as healthy. Regulatory agencies in the United States have engendered a system where the corporate-government revolving door leads to corruption and consolidation — not free markets. The current regulations are opposed to the principles of freedom and independence, and favor only those in positions to make money from more control; so more control and less freedom is what we can expect under these federal directives controlling the states.

7. President declares war unilaterally: Despite the parade of lies that led to wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, it pales in comparison with the new war in Libya and other interventions and sanctions throughout the Middle East and North Africa. Through Executive Orders, outlined above, the President can declare war so long as there is a resolution passed by Congress. This has been dispensed with through Obama’s illegal wars, and it appears that Congress could go even further by ceding its power completely to the president. The disregard for Congressional approval is already dictatorial, but if this last step is taken we will effectively be living in a permanent state of war tantamount to WWIII that will be controlled at the sole discretion of the current and future presidents. This unilateral power to drag nations into war without checks and balances is a hallmark of dictatorships where entire countries are swept along purely by the ideology of their leader. As Ron Paul and Lew Rockwell have stated, “We have a dictatorship when it comes to foreign policy.” With the latest development, it is actually a dictatorship when it comes to domestic policy as well, since America’s espionage network has turned inward, and this new presidential power would not be limited to overseas actions.

8. Torture: Torture has long been a tactic used by America. In fact it runs the leading school on its methods. The School of the Americas has been responsible for training Latin American dictators and their thugs on how to intimidate the local population and rule with an iron fist. However, the torture debate has hit mainstream media in a serious discussion about its effectiveness, especially following the assassination of Osama bin Laden. Aside from the despicable morals involved, torture doesn’t work for intelligence gathering, according to experts. Furthermore, the legalization of torture was what really brought the dreaded Russian secret police out into the open. When such a declaration is made, it is literally a recruiting strategy to find the criminals and sadists who would love to be part of such a system. Torture is not normal work for normal people; it is the work of psychopaths such as Dick Cheney who loves the tactic of waterboarding so much that he has stated it should be brought back and used more widely. No nation that uses torture to obtain confessions can be called legitimate. It is only used as a tool of intimidation and oppression by totalitarian regimes.

9. Forced labor camps (gulags): This is when we know that a totalitarian society has arrived in full and our society is run completely by coercion. As Naomi Wolf has illustrated, “With its jails in Iraq and Afghanistan, and, of course, Guantánamo in Cuba, where detainees are abused, and kept indefinitely without trial and without access to the due process of the law, America certainly has its gulag now.” Additionally, a silent gulag has already been created inside America, starting with the nation’s prisoners who are increasingly locked up within a for-profit prison-industrial system that makes money both on the construction of prisons as well as the cheap labor force. The Defense Department itself pays prisoners 23 cents per hour to build its weapons systems, which is clearly a type of slave labor. One might immediately argue that there is a huge difference between real prisoners and innocent people swept off the streets as they were in Stalinist Russia, for example, or in modern day North Korea and China. That is to presume, however, that everyone in prison is guilty; and, if they are, that the crimes which have sent them there really constitute offenses worthy of prison sentences. America has the world’s largest prison population and the highest incarceration rate precisely because nearly everything is a jail-time crime, and there is money to be made by the growing corporate prison system. The War on Drugs alone has led to a disproportionate number of inmates for non-violent offenses among the already 2.4 million in jail and the 5 million on probation. With the economy imploding, even debtors prisons have made a comeback. Although FEMA camps10 Indications The United States Is A Dictatorship  are still relegated to fringe conspiracy theory, we should be wary of the potential endgame for such a proven system of oppression. Through Continuity of Government, national emergency directives would openly suspend the Constitution and could possibly lead once again to internment camps in America.

10. Control over all communications (propaganda): Once the physical framework of dictatorial control has been set up, then the justification for its continued presence can commence. The type of high-tech control grid now put into place in The United States to this point has only been explored in works of fiction such as 198410 Indications The United States Is A Dictatorship  , which has led Paul Craig Roberts to draw a correct parallel. A public emergency announcement system has in fact been in place since the ’50s, whereby the president can interrupt television and radio to deliver critical messages. However, this has been recently expanded as the FCC voted to mandate (PDF) “the first-ever Presidential alert to be aired across the United States on the Nation’s Emergency Alert System (EAS),” Now, with the arrival of the trackable smartphone that can be hijacked to bring government messages (emergency or not) we find ourselves “willing” participants in a scenario reaching far beyond 1984. Using the bin Laden assassination and the threat of guaranteed reprisal, the government has announced that the president will break into these private networks to carry PLAN government messages and warnings; and there is no opt-out. At the same time, we have seen the buildup in rhetoric leading toward Internet control. As always, an unsavory element of society (pirating) has been used as one of the pretexts to introduce government control over private industry, while cybersecurity lays claim to total control over the infrastructure for national emergencies. Ideologically, Obama advisor, Cass Sunstein, has proposed a fairness doctrine for the Internet that would enable a government overlay on private websites that would offer counter opinions to anti-establishment content. We are approaching a situation worse than China, where both mental intrusion via propaganda and physical intrusion via systems control are merging. It is not comforting to know, also, that the president made a shocking claim recently that he can censor unclassified documents. There is clearly a concerted effort to take over all forms of information, permitting the government to alter it or censor it before consumption by its citizens. In any other country we would call this a dictatorship.

It would appear that the United States should be a called a dictatorship based on the above criteria. Once the atmosphere is established, average participants need not be part of a conspiracy, as they tend to unquestioningly go with the flow. However, we must acknowledge that the U.S. is in a vastly different position than totalitarian regimes of the past, as well as her contemporaries. America has a history that is built upon the foundation of resistance to dictators. This memory needs to be invoked by following the protections outlined in our founding documents, particularly the power of the states to resist Federal tyranny. The protections therein can be restored once we have the courage to admit how much freedom we have lost, then refuse to succumb to a fear-based perception of reality. Only then will Liberty, Love and Peace prevail!’

Ex-French-first lady: Sarkozy baby news wonderful (AP) [ The big question swirling around Europe, ‘Who’s the papa?’. ]

Diana film causes stir at Cannes “Unlawful Killing” has a combination of celebrity, controversy and canny hype-mongering. (Washington Post) [ Let’s not kid ourselves … and, Dodi Fayed’s father was no dope and knew the score. Indeed, it’s not coincidental that William’s the over-riding favorite of granny Liz II; after all, Harry’s the bastard son of Hewitt (don’t buy into their DNA proffer which they did buy – you know, that ‘bloodline thing’). Moreover, it was reported that Diana had another ‘potential challenger in the oven’ at the time of her death and we all know how dicey such english affairs of state can be (ie., Henry VIII, Richard III, etc.). Then there’s the contempt of Diana for having brought the son of her bosom, Chas, down. Do I think she said flat out ‘kill Diana’. No … more of a ‘do what’s necessary’ to mi6 et als. Ultimately, William will require some substantial therapy to sort out this looming conflict. After all, Diana was his mother. Drudgereport: British woman decapitated in grocery store; killer flees with head... Cannes: Diana doc slams UK royals as 'gangsters'... Though having but 5% of the world’s population, u.s. has 76% of the world’s serial killers, http://www.albertpeia.com/realifeamericaserialkillers.mpg . Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on military than all the nations of the world combined... fed employees / contractors, cia, all 3 branches of u.s. gov’t, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm ]:

CRIME STATISTICS >(america is No. 1).

Rank

Countries

Amount

# 1

United States:

11,877,218

# 2

United Kingdom:

6,523,706

# 3

Germany:

6,507,394

Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche 'The worst part of it ...Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place’ ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ). UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE... In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ' Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud WP | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.



Drudgereport: USA HITS DEBT CEILING...

TREASURY RAIDS PENSIONS...
RON PAUL: SELL THE GOLD IN FORT KNOX... [ I personally believe that some has already been sold, as in stole, with gold plate the replacement; after all, with the wall street frauds, 360 tons of $100 bills flown into Iraq and ‘disappeared’, etc., why would same seem unlikely. ]
GOV'T MOTORS CHEERS CHINESE COMMUNIST MOVIE...
US helicopter exchanges fire with Pakistan troops on Afghan border...

...increasing tensions
Pakistan, China Grow Closer...
New, federally-mandated light bulbs will cost $50 -- each...

GE lobbied for them...
REPORT: Secret Service interrogates 7th grader without parents' knowledge...

China cuts holdings of Treasurys for 5th month...
U.S. borrows $58,000 a second...
BUCHANAN: 'Bad day for New World Order'...
NO BAIL FOR WORLD'S BANKER
DOWN AND OUT IN MANHATTAN...
...sex charges likely to isolate IMF in debt crisis talks

'BLOOD ON THE BED'...
Authorities investigating 'at least one other' case...
CHANGE: Obama Assets Total as Much as $12 Million...
GALLUP: OBAMA DROPS ANOTHER 2 POINTS, DOWN TO 46%...

...Post-Bin Laden Bump Has Vanished
Hamas PM: Pray for an end to Israel...

Protesters try to breach Israeli border on 3 fronts...
Israel opens fire across border with Lebanon...
Egypt police fire tear gas at Nakba rally...
Demonstrators pour into Israel from Syria...
'Iran fingerprints'...
'Terror truck' attack...
GALLUP: Obama slips back to 48/45...
Administration approves 200 more new Obamacare waivers...
IMF HEAD IN RAPE RAP...

New Details...
May Step Aside?
French presidential race hopes in jeopardy...
'THUNDERBOLT'...
Ron Paul: 'These are the kind of people running the IMF'...
9 civilians killed in U.S. drone strike in Pakistan...
ALARM OVER APPROACHING INSOLVENCY OF SOCIAL SECURITY, MEDICARE...

Social Security to run 'permanent' deficits...
Texas official accuses ATF of starting wildfire...
'That bunch has a real corner on stupid'...

British woman decapitated in grocery store; killer flees with head...
Cannes: Diana doc slams UK royals as 'gangsters'...
Senate Bill Gives Feds Power to Order Blacklisting of Websites...
Treasury Auctions to Push US Over Debt Ceiling...

McCARTHY: 'Not one Republican vote' to borrow more without cuts...
REPORT: 48 Women Raped Every Hour in Congo...
'DOLLAR IN GRAVER DANGER THAN EURO'...

FORBES: RETURN TO GOLD STANDARD WITHIN 5 YEARS...
In S.C., legislature takes first step...
POLL: 1 in 5 say bin Laden alive...

MICHELLE: KEEPS ON DANCING!
First Lady to host rapper who talks of killing cops...
USA FREAK OUT: TERROR FEARS; FALSE ALARMS...
Sen. Schumer Calls For Amtrak 'Do Not Ride' List...

Two tunnel 'breaches' cause scare in NYC...
Threats Divert Planes in Three Separate Incidents...
Passengers, flight crew subdue man banging on cockpit door...
Dallas Train Station Evacuated: Man Asked For Help Carrying Packages...
4 Arrested For Videotaping TSA Line At Denver...
SHOCK PHOTO: TSA LOOKING FOR 'POOP BOMBS?'
U.S.-Pak. Rift Widens...

Pak. warns of 'full force' response to future US raids...
S&P cuts Greece's rating...
BOEHNER TO DEMAND NOT BILLIONS, BUT TRILLIONS IN CUTS...
OIL REBOUNDS; 2ND LARGEST GAIN ON RECORD...
REPORT: Housing crash getting worse...

...values fall fastest rate since '08
Michelle Obama to host rapper at WH who talks of killing cops...
'COMMAND CENTER'...

Pakistan skeptical of U.S. claim bin Laden directed network...
Two loud explosions heard in town where bin Laden killed...
Videos show 9-11 mastermind watching himself on TV...
U.S. government censors tapes, cuts audio...
Inside bin Laden's squalid home...
NYT: Final days of domesticity...
Drone Strike Kills 15 in Pakistan...

First since bin Laden raid...
BIN LADEN SUPPORTERS RAGE ON THE STREETS OF LONDON, VOW REVENGE...

Stage mock funeral in front of US embassy...
Gas nat'l average: $3.99...

Eats 9% of household budgets...
Average price sets record in Indiana -- $4.25 a gallon...
$6.03 in Hawaii...
JAPAN URGES HALT AT THREE REACTORS...
UNEMPLOYMENT BACK UP TO 9.0%...
Fannie Mae Reports $8.7B Loss for First Quarter...

Seeks $8.5B more from taxpayers...
APRIL JOBS: +244,000...

FUZZY MATH: How can US add jobs but the unemployment rate go up?
Gas nat'l average: $3.99...

Eats 9% of household budgets...
Average price sets record in Indiana -- $4.25 a gallon...
$6.03 in Hawaii...
PAPER: GREECE EU EXIT?
Silver Plunge Spreads...

OIL GUTTED...
Price Slide Temporary, New Highs Likely: Goldman...
Fears linger of a new 'flash crash'...
Euro Tumbles... CNN SHOCK POLL: RON PAUL HAS BEST CHANCE VS OBAMA
National Home Prices Double Dip...
JOBLESS CLAIMS RISE TO 8 MONTH HIGH...
Fears linger of a new 'flash crash'...
9-11 FAMILY: 'SHOW US PROOF BIN LADEN KILLED'...

Victim's father: Obama 'putting too much spotlight on himself'...
Channels Bush at Ground Zero: 'We will never forget'...
Tells teen survivor he knows Justin Bieber...
Turns Back on 9/11 Family Member...
AUDIO...
Muslim Brotherhood urges review of Israel ties...
Pakistanis burn U.S. flags; backlash over death grows...
Pakistan officials: No resistance in 'cold-blooded' U.S. raid...

Warns America not to stage any more...
Threatens 'disastrous consequences'...
Muslims already name dump location 'Martyr's Sea'...
OBAMA, NO PHOTOS OF OSAMA: 'We don't need to spike the football'...
'Conspiracy theorists will just claim doctored'...

Sen. Scott Brown: 'I've seen picture, he's definitely dead'...
UPDATE: Photo proving bin Laden's death to Sen. Brown was faked...

three senators fell for fakes...
UPDATE: 'The photo I saw and that a lot of other people saw is not authentic'...
Top Dem: No photo needed, 'there's absolute proof'...
REUTERS RELEASES 'DEATH SCENE' PHOTOS
**WARNING GRAPHIC**
UPDATE: Photo proving bin Laden's death to Sen. Brown was faked...
Possibly three senators fell for fakes...
Pakistan: 'Not a single bullet fired from compound'...

WIRE: Photos from 1 hour after raid show 3 dead, no weapons...
The Slippery Story of the bin Laden Kill...
Official says 'killed apparently by the U.S. raid team'...

DOLLAR HITS 3 YEAR LOW...

1 IN 7 ON FOOD STAMPS!
Job numbers disappoint...
Treasury suggests $2 trillion debt cap raise...
REUTERS, AP journalists describe staging of Obama photo taken after TV announcement of bin Laden's death...
US Postal Service reports $2.2B loss for quarter... [ And, let me add that they deserved that loss. The USPS is totally unreliable and basically a jobs program for the otherwise unemployable; and, they are also corrupt. I’ve previously set forth the scenario where the postal service waylaid dvd disks sent priority/confirmation and a second time, certified mail, to the FBI (violations of federal law, tampering, obstruction, etc.), and ultimately additional copies of said disks were delivered by the reliable, efficient, competitive, performance-driven UPS (their parcel rates are roughly the same and yet half the delivery time – Fedex is as unreliable as the USPS-and for some time had a deal with the USPS). Amazon, Ebay, though a boon to the USPS, have consistently failed to deliver in the realm of computers / peripherals. The following includes a prior testimonial to the service, reliability of PRO Computer Center ( http://www.procomputercenter.com Pro Computer Center, 10837 Santa Monica Blvd., Los Angeles, CA 90025 ) . Pro Computer Center is among the few remaining stores of their kind. They are performance / service / customer oriented like no other surviving computer retailer / repairer / service providers I’ve experienced. They’ve also moved into the realm of computer forensics / data recovery in the context of court proceedings where they’ve successfully performed where others failed and at substantially more reasonable rates than ‘the competition’. My most recent computer problems accounting for some website / posting delays has been once again been resolved by them and another Dell computer (the circumstances of the most recent debacle was a barrage of Trojans caught by my antivirus, one after another, then shutting down my antivirus, ultimately freezing (no boot) my computer (I previously alluded to my reasonable suspicions as to who perpetrated same). My experiences with such as Amazon, Ebay have been atrocious and borderline if not outright fraudulent (the shoddy sellers), time consuming, and aggravating in the ‘claims process’. Moreover, the other brick and mortar stores, even if reputable, have a fine print which lays most of the warrantee/ guarantee on the manufacturer. In sum, Pro Computer Center does not have any ‘real’ competition. They are currently building me a backup computer that comports with my budget and their survival as a company, though somewhat rare among computer retailers of their type, is totally understandable and a testament to high quality performance and service. (Prior testimonial:
Pro Computer Center
10837 Santa Monica Blvd.
Los Angeles, CA 90025

Gentlemen:

I just wanted to extend to you and your company my sincere thanks for a job well done. The Dell computer I recently purchased from you has lived up to all your representations and as well, my own expectations. I bought my first computer from you (Ben) in or around 1999. It was a Sony Vaio laptop which owing to Windows Millenium and a very proprietary approach to computing on the part of Sony, truth be told, was not the greatest system in terms of stability (typical Millenium problems), but no fault of yours. Ultimately, though functional, I traded the Vaio for a Mac, an accommodation by your company seldom seen with other companies if at all (3+ years later). You’ve always stood by your products / service, are available / accessible to field / handle all questions / problems which is rare indeed. In Armand you have a top-notch A+ Certified Tech who is patient, knowledgeable, and talented. Ruben, in truth has been particularly instrumental in seeing to a smooth transition in my recent dealings with your company as a knowledgeable IT Specialist and especially as a savvy, capable manager. Since 1999 I’ve purchased five computers from you and based upon performance, the sixth is assured.

Sincerely,

Albert L. Peia ) ]

Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding Stocks slip after three-day rally (Washington Post) [ Top 3 Reasons Markets Tanked with Oil WSCS…

1) Commodities and Oil got slaughtered. .. widening trade gap.

2) Insiders finally getting busted.. but what about what large banks, investment banks, and mortgage companies did to the US economy…these insider trading cases are basically sideshows…

Fed official calls for vigilance (WP) [ Who’s still buying their b***s***! Much higher prices / inflation’s already here. 24 Signs Of Economic Decline In America ‘The US is in the middle of a devastating long-term economic decline’ ] States face shortfall for retirees (WP) (The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed), and have used the mideast turmoil to obfuscate their failure. Dave's Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money-- … an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! America Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog / the grim economic reality [ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm ]. Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding / April Is a Good Time to Sell Adler Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar ... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued …only time the markets have been more overvalued .. 1929 & tech bubble. http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/4/12/saupload_cape_thumb1.png PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Bernanke prepares to make history (WP) [ He already has! $6 gas acomin’.. hyperinflation as predicted well on the way from over-printing of fiat paper currency by fed as predicted, etc., Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar 'Despite the terrible economic performance of the past ten years, equity valuations are the 2nd largest bubble in U.S. history... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued according to this valuation metric. The only time the markets have been more overvalued was a few brief months in 1929 and the tech bubble

... growth in earnings have been artificially manufactured...

· The change in accounting rules for the financial sector by FASB has generated massive “false” account profits beginning in 2009…’

Pension plan draws ire of workers Proposal to raise payroll deductions of federal workers could make public sector work less attractive.
Diary: Federal workers are raising the roof Treasury to tap pensions to fund government (Washington Post) [ Most people thought this to be beyond the realm of possibility; yet, it’s happening and far worse is yet to come, their desperation being seen in so many ways. As far as public sector ‘work’ being less attractive, let’s not forget the fact that these non-productive, over-paid, over-valued public employees, like those of the u.s. postal service, are otherwise unemployable, and as such, tend to favor party-campaign benefactors as, ie., fraudulent wall street, etc.. Market's Risk/Reward Ratio Remains Poor McCurdy ‘The S&P 500 index has been in a secular bear market since 2000 and our Secular Trend Score (STS) indicates that we remain in the middle stage of its development :

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540693393499-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

..Butler|Philbrick & Associates conducted a study that combined the Shiller CAPE ratio, the Q-Ratio, long-term price deviations and total return trends. The following graph from DShort.com displays 15-year actual stock market returns and projected returns since 1900 ..

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-13054033822883-Erik-McCurdy.png

With a couple of notable exceptions, actual returns have tracked projected returns almost exactly during the past 110 years. .. this model projects that stocks will return -0.5% during the next 10 years and 0.6% during the next 15 years.. stocks are likely to produce no gains for the next 15 years. .. However, the fact remains that stocks are priced to deliver historically poor returns as investment vehicles for the foreseeable future.

While valuation-based forecasting models project a poor long-term outlook, chart analysis and internal data also suggest that the stock market has entered a period of heightened risk from an intermediate-term perspective. ..

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540340946043-Erik-McCurdy.png

The rally is now 26 months old and cyclical bulls that occur during secular bears..

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540342919514-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540344803643-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-13054034630148-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-13054034630148-Erik-McCurdy.png

Finally, our sentiment score recently declined to the lowest level since late 2007, reflecting an excessive amount of bullish sentiment that leaves the stock market vulnerable to an abrupt, violent decline.

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540347838945-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

Lawmakers rebuff restitution (Washington Post) Investors in an alleged Ponzi scheme say their pleas for reimbursement fall on deaf ears. ‘While Allen Stanford was flying high, he and his colleagues spent more than $10 million on campaign contributions and lobbying payments to curry favor in Washington. But all that money was diverted from investors in what authorities have called an elaborate Ponzi scheme, second only to Bernard Madoff’s in U.S. history, according to court documents…’ [ No surprise here from the accomplices / facilitators of frauds such as this which are plentiful in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america.

A storm gathers over equities markets (Reuters) Stock Market: 4 Current Warning Signs Navin ‘…

1) The 5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565 sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher. Yes, it’s normal for insiders to be selling some of their stocks so they can buy new yachts and some of this is pre-planned. But that ratio — which has spiked recently — is extraordinarily high, one might even say off-the-chart.

2) Professor Shiller at Yale figures that the present price-to-earnings ratio for the Standard & Poor’s 500 is in the area of 26. The historical average is about 16.

3) The failure of the financial sector to keep up is a significant negative divergence for the entire market.

4) Key market leaders are rolling over in price... ‘

Market's Risk/Reward Ratio Remains Poor McCurdy ‘The S&P 500 index has been in a secular bear market since 2000 and our Secular Trend Score (STS) indicates that we remain in the middle stage of its development (click to enlarge images):

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540693393499-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

This is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! Remember: ‘Sell in May and go away! …

America Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog | It’s now mainstream news that none of the big financial criminals have been prosecuted. This is the grim economic reality [ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm ]. Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding / April Is a Good Time to Sell Adler Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar

Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding 24 Signs Of Economic Decline In America ‘The US is in the middle of a devastating long-term economic decline’ ] States face shortfall for retirees (WP) (The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed. Dave's Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money-- … an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! America Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog / the grim economic reality [ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm ]. Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar ... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued …only time the markets have been more overvalued .. 1929 & tech bubble. http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/4/12/saupload_cape_thumb1.png PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows

Study: $2 trillion for infrastructure U.S. is falling dramatically behind in rebuilding and expanding its transportation network, study says. (Washington Post) [ As if that was all pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america was falling behind in. Moreover, even the simplistic answer, ‘you can’t spend what you don’t have’, is regrettably inapposite. The problem is, defacto bankrupt america is spending what it doesn’t really have. More importantly, pervasively corrupt america is spending what it doesn’t really have on war, and such other manipulations as fraudulent wall street, most of which is immediately or ultimately a net negative in real economic terms. Davis ‘This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ . Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government ... 5-1-11 / U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every 3 days ... http://whatreallyhappened.com/WRHARTICLES/osama_dead.php

ON MAY 1, 2011, JUST MOMENTS BEFORE PRESIDENT OBAMA ANNOUNCED THAT THE US HAD KILLED OSAMA BIN LADEN, THE WHATREALLYHAPPENED WEBSITE CAME UNDER MASSIVE DISTRIBUTED DENIAL OF SERVICE ATTACK. THIS PAGE, WHICH DOCUMENTS THAT OSAMA BIN LADEN ACTUALLY DIED IN DECEMBER OF 2001, APPEARS TO BE WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DIDN'T WANT AVAILABLE WHILE THE NEW PROPAGANDA WAS "CATAPULTED FORWARD". IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS IS THE OPENING GAMBIT IN A PLAN TO STAGE A "REVENGE" ATTACK FROM "AL QAEDA" ON THE UNITED STATES, WITH WHICH TO JUSTIFY TOTAL WAR ON THE MIDDLE EAST.

Bin Laden's voice was detected regularly until [12-14-01] by intelligence operatives monitoring radio transmissions in Tora Bora, according to the Pentagon [details]. Since then, nothing has been heard from the al-Qa'eda leader ..[Telegraph, 12/28/2001]

Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government

Osama bin Laden is dead. The news first came from sources in Afghanistan and Pakistan almost 6 mos ago: the fugitive died in December [2001] and was buried in the mountains of southeast Afghanistan. Pakistan's president, Pervez Musharraf, echoed the information. ..

..Osama bin Laden would not have.. remained silent for so long if he were still alive. He always liked to take credit even for things he had nothing to do with …[NYT 7-11-02]

FOX News Report: Bin Laden Already Dead

Dionne: Why did the media fall for Trump? (Washington Post) [ In addition to being a mobster, trump was / is always a joke and a certifiable mental case. The real question is why the media continues to fall for wobama. SEC urged to ease fundraising rules (Washington Post) [ REDUNDANT! I mean come on! Any more ‘easing’ and we’d be in negative territory where they actually reward you for breaking the rules which is currently the reality in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, meaningfully lawless america. Roche 'The worst part of it ...Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place’ ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ). UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE... In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ' Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud WP | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on military spending than all the nations of the world combined... federal employees / contractors, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality ( http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm ). That perverse field of dreams I’ve previously alluded to, the american nightmare, if you build / contrive war, they will come. And, they do; seals of them (among others); and when their ‘tours’ are done, it’s murder inc./contract killing for hire that they’ve won (cia, mob, etc.). The 20th century, the ‘bloodiest century’, not coincidentally referred to as the american century, brings longings of nostalgia to american criminals who, like Pavlov’s dogs salivate at the prospect of killing, raping, pillaging, and plundering which primitive mindset they have mistakenly been conditioned to connect to their now irretrievably lost success as a nation state; and to the contrary, has become globally and domestically self-destructive / self-defeating. The entire 911 / Bin Laden scenario just doesn’t pass the smell test and reeks of political desperation and Orwellian opportunism.

U.S. speeds up direct talks with Taliban Officials say they hope the negotiations, initiated several months ago, will enable President Obama to report progress in ending the Afghan war when he announces troop withdrawals in July. (Washington Post) [ Well, no biggy … after all, they’ve been reporting and will continue reporting ‘progress’ regardless of the reality and prospectively why should we expect the truth, particularly in this so called election cycle. Even MSNBC’s Chris Matthews Admits the CIA is Engaging in “Psy-Ops” With The Bin Laden Raid Youtube

Bin Laden’s “One Million Page Cache” Will Be Used To Legitimize Official 9/11 Fable Paul Watson | The White House claims it has recovered one million pages of data from the Bin Laden compound.

That’s exactly what they want … for the benefit of the military industrial complex that has steadily drained the dwindling resourses of this country to defacto bankruptcy.

Editorial: Bin Laden raid no vindication of torture (Washington Post) [ While I don’t disagree with this Editorial, I do disagree with the premise; viz., that they truly sought to prevent that ultimate ‘pearl harbor event’, to ratchet up the war spending / military industrial complex welfare plan with broad based enthusiasm / support. Even war-monger mccain supports this which also finds support in international law, treaties, conventions.I can only wonder what the presence of substantially underrated President General Eisenhower would have meant, and truly believe this entire debacle and the nation’s decline would have been avoided. “All In All It Appears That Eisenhower’s Worst Fears Have Been Realized And His Remarkable And Unique Warnings Given For Naught” [ I personally believe, and the factual, historical realities support that President General Eisenhower is without question the most under-rated president in america’s short-lived history. Is there anyone who foolishly would believe this man (Ike) of honor, the quintessential General / Commander in Chief would be sacrificing lives (american among many others) and treasury for the sake of war profiteers, greed, fraud, etc., as now? ] President Eisenhower’s warned us about the growing threat from the military-industrial complex – and it’s threat to our prosperity – 50 years ago. Eisenhower’s Worst Fears Have Been Realized Washington’s Blog | All in all it appears that Eisenhower’s worst fears have been realized and his remarkable and unique warnings given for naught. ….. Indeed, 911 itself; that ‘pearl harbor event’ so sought by the neo-cons / war mongers still defies explanation (ie., the ‘stand-down order’, symmetrical implosions, foreknowledge by some {who conveniently ‘missed the party’ that day}, etc.. Some links, echoing the disbelief akin to the ‘Jessica Lynch’, Tillman, etc., affairs follow. People must realize that though having but 5% of the world’s population, america can boast 76% of the world’s serial killers and the highest crime rates in the world by far. That perverse field of dreams I’ve previously alluded to, the american nightmare, if you build / contrive war, they will come. And, they do; seals of them (among others); and when their ‘tours’ are done, it’s murder inc./contract killing for hire that they’ve won (cia, mob, etc.). The 20th century, the ‘bloodiest century’, not coincidentally referred to as the american century, brings longings of nostalgia to american criminals who, like Pavlov’s dogs salivate at the prospect of killing, raping, pillaging, and plundering which primitive mindset they have mistakenly been conditioned to connect to their now irretrievably lost success as a nation state; and, to the contrary, has become globally and domestically self-destructive / self-defeating. The entire 911 / Bin Laden scenario just doesn’t pass the smell test and reeks of political desperation and Orwellian opportunism.

Ludicrous Bin Laden “Porno” Claim Harks Back To CIA Fakery Paul Joseph Watson | Spooks admitted creating hoax videotapes of Osama talking about having sex with boys. [ Yeah! This is becoming preposterous and it’s quite amazing that anyone’s believing anything they say. Next thing you know, they’ll be saying beyond the porn stash, Bin Laden was a closet Christian. Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government ... May 1, 2011 ... U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every 3 days ... http://whatreallyhappened.com/WRHARTICLES/osama_dead.php

ON MAY 1, 2011, JUST MOMENTS BEFORE PRESIDENT OBAMA ANNOUNCED THAT THE US HAD KILLED OSAMA BIN LADEN, THE WHATREALLYHAPPENED WEBSITE CAME UNDER MASSIVE DISTRIBUTED DENIAL OF SERVICE ATTACK. THIS PAGE, WHICH DOCUMENTS THAT OSAMA BIN LADEN ACTUALLY DIED IN DECEMBER OF 2001, APPEARS TO BE WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DIDN'T WANT AVAILABLE WHILE THE NEW PROPAGANDA WAS "CATAPULTED FORWARD". IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS IS THE OPENING GAMBIT IN A PLAN TO STAGE A "REVENGE" ATTACK FROM "AL QAEDA" ON THE UNITED STATES, WITH WHICH TO JUSTIFY TOTAL WAR ON THE MIDDLE EAST… [ infra, for article text ]]

FLASHBACK: Editorial: US in quagmire Seeing the warm welcome extended to the Afghan president on his US trip, it is hard to believe that only weeks ago Washington was seething with anger and frustration at Hamid Karzai’s behavior and there were even dark mutterings by US officials that he might be mad.

War in Afghanistan and Iraq costs America $1trillion From the Old | On May 30th at 10:06 the United States reached the point where they have spent $1trillion on the wars in Afghanistan and Iraq.

A storm gathers over equities markets (Reuters) Wall Street's second weekly fall raises fear of retreat (Reuters) Reuters - Stocks ended a second week of losses on a down note Friday, reflecting growing worries that stocks are on the precipice of a pullback. [ Fear? Worries? How ‘bout realities … the ones the insiders already know … Navin (see infra) ‘…1) The 5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565 sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher. Yes, it’s normal for insiders to be selling some of their stocks so they can buy new yachts and some of this is pre-planned. But that ratio — which has spiked recently — is extraordinarily high, one might even say off-the-chart…’ ]



Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government ... May 1, 2011 ... U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every 3 days ... http://whatreallyhappened.com/WRHARTICLES/osama_dead.php

ON MAY 1, 2011, JUST MOMENTS BEFORE PRESIDENT OBAMA ANNOUNCED THAT THE US HAD KILLED OSAMA BIN LADEN, THE WHATREALLYHAPPENED WEBSITE CAME UNDER MASSIVE DISTRIBUTED DENIAL OF SERVICE ATTACK. THIS PAGE, WHICH DOCUMENTS THAT OSAMA BIN LADEN ACTUALLY DIED IN DECEMBER OF 2001, APPEARS TO BE WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DIDN'T WANT AVAILABLE WHILE THE NEW PROPAGANDA WAS "CATAPULTED FORWARD". IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS IS THE OPENING GAMBIT IN A PLAN TO STAGE A "REVENGE" ATTACK FROM "AL QAEDA" ON THE UNITED STATES, WITH WHICH TO JUSTIFY TOTAL WAR ON THE MIDDLE EAST… [ See the National / World section, infra, for article text ]



Stock Market: 4 Current Warning Signs Navin ‘No one indicator by itself can be trusted. Many indicators taken as whole, however, can offer valuable guidance when a clear pattern develops. Right now, that guidance appears to warn about current conditions.

1) The 5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565 sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher. Yes, it’s normal for insiders to be selling some of their stocks so they can buy new yachts and some of this is pre-planned. But that ratio — which has spiked recently — is extraordinarily high, one might even say off-the-chart.

2) Professor Shiller at Yale figures that the present price-to-earnings ratio for the Standard & Poor’s 500 is in the area of 26. The historical average is about 16. Although p/e’s can remain elevated for longer than you would imagine, reversion to the mean eventually takes place. Such a reversion would knock off almost 40% of current price. From today’s level, that would put the S&P 500 at about 800. Some shake their heads when I mention this, but it wasn’t too many months ago that we just broke above that.

3) The failure of the financial sector to keep up is a significant negative divergence for the entire market. Tom Aspray’s charts demonstrate the unfortunate price patterns of some big banks. I’ve mentioned this as well, previously. It’s hard to imagine how much further a rally can go without support from financials.

4) Key market leaders are rolling over in price. Take a look at Google (GOOG), one of the hottest stocks going in the recent rally. It appears to have peaked in January and is unable to set new highs even as the S&P continued upward. GOOG’s 50-day moving average has turned downward and has crossed below the 200-day moving average. This is a significant change of trend. ‘

AIG to sell Treasury shares The government soon will begin unloading its 92.1 percent ownership stake in the bailout company. (Washington Post) [ Who’s the unlucky sucker? Ultimately, a pension fund or two or three, etc., or maybe you or an equally unlucky member of your family. Stock market on a roll despite slowing economic growth, lingering unemployment[Also known as reality! Roll … yes, indeed … everyone’s to get rolled! ] (WP) Dow is up more than 10 percent for 2011, to its highest point in nearly three years. [ Same bubble scenario preceeding last crash (including currency manipulation); yet, far worse this time owing to insurmountable debt and defacto bankruptcy of the nation. Fed Chairman Bernanke does reality TV (WP) [ Except the ‘NO-RECESSION HELICOPTER BEN B.S. BERNANKE’ show is scripted unreality … even with his reduction in estimate for ‘economic growth’, the frauds on wall street still rallied. Bernanke prepares to make history (WP) [ He already has! $6 gas acomin’, $1,508+ gold, $46+ silver, other commodities at record levels, hyperinflation as predicted well on the way from over-printing of fiat paper currency by fed as predicted, etc., Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar 'Despite the terrible economic performance of the past ten years, equity valuations are the 2nd largest bubble in U.S. history... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued according to this valuation metric. The only time the markets have been more overvalued was a few brief months in 1929 and the tech bubble

... growth in earnings have been artificially manufactured...

· The change in accounting rules for the financial sector by FASB has generated massive “false” account profits beginning in 2009.

· The extended (and then further extended) unemployment benefits have kept an artificially higher demand for consumer consumption. As a result, the US government has artificially subsidized corporate profits.

· The billions saved through “free loading” by homeowners who have defaulted on their mortgages yet maintained their residence, thus living without a mortgage payment.

· The artificially suppressed interest rates...

Dave's Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money-- … an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! 24 Signs Of Economic Decline In America ‘The United States is in the middle of a devastating long-term economic decline’ ] States face shortfall for retirees ]

Getting Defensive in Equities, Aggressive in Fixed Income The Simple Accountant ‘In last week’s outlook we recommended staying with defensive sectors and fixed income, avoiding commodity related stocks, and waiting for a bounce before selling commodities short. Let’s have a look at how those tactics worked, and then try to anticipate what the next week’s trading might look like.

Week in Review

Stocks: The major US indexes were little changed on contracting volume. On Friday the SPX (SPY) closed below the key short term level of 1340, with which it had been flirting for over a week. S&P sector action showed a third consecutive week of defensive rotation as investors moved out of commodity linked stocks and into perceived safety. Healthcare, consumer staples and utilities led the way again, while the shares of companies leveraged to economic expansion fell. Financials were the real laggard, dropping more than 2% on weakness in bank stocks. Although non-bank blue chip stocks like American Express (AXP) and Travelers (TRV) have been solid, the financial sector SPDR (XLF) is now down year to date, and with a meager yield, its total return is none too impressive.

In foreign stock markets, the MSCI EAFE index dropped more than 2% for a second consecutive week on broad weakness in the UK, Europe and Japan, but emerging markets fared a little better thanks to support in Shanghai and strength in smaller Asian markets such as Singapore and Thailand.

Bonds: The run of falling Treasury yields across the curve was finally broken, as bond trading was a mixed bag last week. Rates at the short and long end rose, but fell slightly in the middle. TIPs were marked down a little and corporate issues did nothing much, in either investment grade or junk ratings. All in all, nothing to make us excited except munis, which have been on a nice little run since early April. Some of the European bond markets were a bit more active on the downside, for the obvious reasons, but emerging market bonds posted modest gains.

Commodities: After heavy losses in the previous week, commodities found some bids as bargain hunters came in to buy, but trading was volatile. Gold, silver and oil saw the most action and buying interest, but copper and the grains continued to extended previous losses, with the former breaking the 200 day MA and the latter sitting just above. If you subscribe to the theory that copper prices are a leading indicator for the economy, this is worth noting.

Currencies: The US Dollar index recorded another week of gains, breaking the 50 day MA to finish at 75.78 at Friday’s close. The euro index sold off again but remains above the 140 level for now. The Aussie and Canadian dollars both fell but remain above parity to the greenback at 105.76 and 103.26 respectively. Yen was off slightly.

The Week Ahead

Stocks: With earnings season largely behind us, the market is looking at the macro picture and getting defensive. Even the normally bullish Ken Fisher is quoted by Reuters as saying “expectations for the stock market are a bit on the high side” (contrary to popular belief, Fisher is not a perma-bull and actually makes some good calls on the market). Certainly there are signals that have to give us cause for concern:

  • Economic headwinds from high oil prices
  • Falling bond yields
  • Ongoing weakness of banks
  • Few signs of a recovery in residential real estate
  • Continued high unemployment
  • Political pressure for fiscal consolidation

This is potentially a stagflationary brew, but it has been with us for some time, and stocks have overcome it to this point. Why should it be different now? Ken Fisher hit on the concern: we’ve come a long way since the March 2009 bottom,and many stocks are priced, not for perfection, but for much less forgiving forward growth expectations. Perhaps it should not surprise us that defensive sectors are leading the market, as the broader indexes struggle to make headway.

Last week we said investors need to start adapting to a new market environment which is likely to be more volatile, and would place a premium on stock selection, sector rotation and timing. We detailed some of that movement above in our review of last week: while XLF is down 1% year to date, TRV is up over 12% and AXP more than 16%. To give another example, if you are in stocks through an index vehicle like SPY, you’re up only 6.5%, but XLV is up 14.5% and XLP 9.5%.

It may seem like we are cherry picking results like these in hindsight, but the simple point is this: Whatever method you use, have a plan and hold leading stocks and sectors that are acting well, and sell those that aren't. This is particularly important in tax advantaged accounts. Even if you pick up only 2-3 extra points a year net of expenses this will help to build your portfolio in the long run.

click on all charts to enlarge:
http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/220228-130541053554117-The-Simple-Accountant.png

Bonds: So far so good for bond holders. Our analysis for some time has been that we like what we have bought at attractive yield-on-cost, but it’s getting quite difficult to find reasonable yield for new money at current prices. Among popular bond ETFs, a buyer at last week’s closing price would only get around 2.5% in AGG, 3.2% in TLT and 3.5% in LQD. Not very impressive and difficult to produce an attractive income stream at those rates so, as with equities, we have been forced to adapt to the market environment. My strategy going forward in the fixed income portfolio is going to shift to more active management. We will be adding high yield and preferred securities but with a very strict sell discipline to preserve capital. Sometimes the market just makes you work harder for your money.

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/220228-130541104590747-The-Simple-Accountant_origin.png

Commodities: We’ve seen a big selloff followed by some developing support in the hottest commodity sectors. My take on this action is that it’s still a short term trader’s market, and since that’s not my style, they can go at it while I stay on the sidelines. For me the real signals are in the industrial metals: aluminum, copper and steel, and in the grains. Those are signaling weakness. On a fundamental level commodities are still expensive, and with signs that near term growth may be slowing, there is room for prices to fall farther. On a longer term macro level, I have little doubt the price trend will be up, which is why my strategy as stated last week is not to short commodities but to look for more attractive prices to go long. We’re not there yet, not even close.

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/220228-130541126175833-The-Simple-Accountant_origin.png

Currencies: We have a developing rally in the US Dollar index with the close above the 50 day and the recent down trend broken. There is plenty of skepticism but on both a fundamental and a technical basis it seems to me this move could have legs. Fundamentally, I have long been a euro skeptic and see nothing to change my view there - the news only gets worse over time. With China actively draining excess liquidity and the impending end of QE in the US, the commodity currencies are early in an overdue correction. Japan is under pressure to cap the rise in the Yen. With this landscape, we have a reasonable possibility of a 78 - 82 range for the Dollar index this summer.

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/220228-130541158885356-The-Simple-Accountant_origin.png

Disclosure: I have no positions in any stocks mentioned, and no plans to initiate any positions within the next 72 hours

Market's Risk/Reward Ratio Remains Poor McCurdy ‘The S&P 500 index has been in a secular bear market since 2000 and our Secular Trend Score (STS) indicates that we remain in the middle stage of its development (click to enlarge images):

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540693393499-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

The STS has yet to even approach positive territory since the last secular sell signal was issued in late 1999, suggesting that the start of the next secular bull market is still several years away. Highly reliable valuation-based models that forecast future market returns using data such as the Shiller cyclically-adjusted price-to-earnings (CAPE) ratio confirm the long-term outlook provided by our STS.

For example, Adam Butler and Mike Philbrick of Butler|Philbrick & Associates conducted a study that combined the Shiller CAPE ratio, the Q-Ratio, long-term price deviations and total return trends. The following graph from DShort.com displays 15-year actual stock market returns and projected returns since 1900 using the Butler/Philbrick model.

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-13054033822883-Erik-McCurdy.png

With a couple of notable exceptions, actual returns have tracked projected returns almost exactly during the past 110 years. Currently, this model projects that stocks will return -0.5% during the next 10 years and 0.6% during the next 15 years. In other words, stocks are likely to produce no gains for the next 15 years. Of course, the stock market is likely to go nowhere in an interesting way, experiencing violent advances and declines as the secular bear market moves into the final phase of its development. However, the fact remains that stocks are priced to deliver historically poor returns as investment vehicles for the foreseeable future.

While valuation-based forecasting models project a poor long-term outlook, chart analysis and internal data also suggest that the stock market has entered a period of heightened risk from an intermediate-term perspective. The current cyclical bull market from March 2009 has been an extreme move, resulting in a doubling of the S&P 500 index during the course of 24 months.

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540340946043-Erik-McCurdy.png

The rally is now 26 months old and cyclical bulls that occur during secular bears have an average duration of 33 months. The last cyclical uptrend that followed a market crash occurred in 1974 and had a duration of 23 months, so it would not be unusual for the current advance to terminate during the next few months.

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540342919514-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

Additionally, market internals continue to negatively diverge from price behavior, indicating that the rally is gradually losing buying support. For example, volume summation continues to hold near recent lows following the sharp decline in February and breadth summation has been moving sideways for the past year.

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540344803643-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-13054034630148-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-13054034630148-Erik-McCurdy.png

Finally, our sentiment score recently declined to the lowest level since late 2007, reflecting an excessive amount of bullish sentiment that leaves the stock market vulnerable to an abrupt, violent decline.

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/14/668911-130540347838945-Erik-McCurdy_origin.png

Valuation-based forecasting models leave little doubt that stocks are priced to deliver very poor long-term returns and the cyclical bull market from 2009 is an extreme move that will almost certainly be followed by a violent correction. At a current duration of 26 months, the cyclical uptrend has reached the age range within which rallies typically end when they occur during secular bear markets and market internals and sentiment are not supportive of additional gains, so stocks currently offer a poor risk/reward ratio as both investing and trading vehicles.’

Market Outlook: Are We Dealing With Ursa Major or Ursa Minor?

Red Flags Everywhere NyaradiRed flags are flying everywhere as we travel farther into the “sell in May and go away” period of the year.” We remain in a defensive posture and continue to enjoy unrealized gains in our inverse ETF positions and put options.

On My Radar

Volatility was the name of the game last week and we can expect more ahead as we enter the seasonally difficult “worst six months of the year” according to the “sell in May and go away” slogan.

The View From 35,000 Feet

Lots of exciting things are going on around us as we head into late spring.

Here’s just a quick executive summary with my thoughts in parenthesis:

1. United States will reach its debt ceiling limit on Monday. (This one is making markets really nervous as witnessed by Friday’s action.) Everyone expects Congress to raise the ceiling but the Republican and Tea Party insistence on meaningful budget cuts first puts an unusual level of stress on this round of talks and turns it into a very high stakes game of chicken.

2. On Friday it was announced that Medicare and Social Security are in worse shape than previously thought and will be unable to cover their current obligations earlier than expected. Medicare is expected to be out of money by 2024, five years earlier than expected, Social Security will exhaust its trust by 2036 and the disability insurance program will be underwater by 2018. (No surprises here and this ties back to item #1 as it’s going to get ugly no matter what Congress does or doesn’t do.)

3. The commodity selloff continues as the dollar gains. (Much of the recent rally in commodities and equities was fueled by the Fed easy money policy and weaker dollar. With QE2 coming to an end and a possibly stronger dollar ahead, this could be a game changer for “buy the dip” strategies in both asset classes.)

4. There has been a significant rotation into “defensive” sectors like utilities and consumer stocks. (This typically indicates money leaving “risk” assets and often portends market declines)

As I mentioned at the outset, “sell in May” is a proven, valid slogan because statistically the months from the end of October through the end of April, are in fact the best months of the year for investing while the six months from May through October are the “worst.”

One of the best sources of information on this subject comes from my friend, Jeffrey Hirsch, at “Stock Trader’s Almanac” where he has developed a trading indicator based on this seasonality and the historical returns it has generated.

Let’s take a look at some of “Stock Traders Almanac’s” findings:

  • On a historical basis, the research indicates that the market generates better rates of return from November through April than from May through October. And the difference is significant.
  • Over a 60 year period, if you had invested on May 1st and closed your position at the end of October, you would have lost money. On the other hand, if you had invested only in the “six good months” you would have made money over the same time.
  • A $10,000 investment in 1950 invested during the “best six months” of the year would have grown to approximately $500,000 today while a $10,000 investment in the worst six months (May through October) would have lost money and so the best six months yielded a 7.4% annual gain compared to a loss in the worst six months.
  • If you invested in just the six good months of the year, you would have beaten the overall return of the major indexes while having been invested for only half the time, thereby reducing your market risk and freeing up your assets to earn interest in low risk money market or Treasury investments.

Finally for the week, one of the most sobering reports that received wide coverage in the blogosphere and mainstream media was the announcement by well known and widely respected analyst Jeremy Grantham who said that the market is currently 40% overvalued which would relate to 920 on the S&P 500 and that the current environment was too high risk for a prudent investor.

Weekly Developments:

Positive: Initial unemployment claims declined, continuing claims were mostly flat, and Michigan Consumer Sentiment rose to 72.4 from 69.8

Negative: Consumer prices and producer prices both rose substantially, indicating that inflation might be coming back more into the picture (we have been expecting this for sometime) and retail sales, although posting a gain, came in lower than the previous month’s report and below expectations, indicating ongoing weakness in the all important consumer sector.

What This All Means To You

What this means to us is that risk is running high in the markets and the chance of a significant correction is relatively high for the period between here and Halloween. Fundamentals continue to weaken and technical indicators are flashing red. The reduction of support by Dr. Bernanke and his colleagues at the Fed is a major factor going forward from here and could yield significant volatility and downward pressure in equities and commodities.

The Week Ahead

Major Issues/Themes: Lots of important economic reports will come our way this week and be potential market movers, but the big thing to pay attention to is what happens in Congress with the budget negotiations and how markets respond to those talks and Treasury Secretary Geithner’s “extraordinary” measures to keep the U.S. from default between now and the early August drop dead date.

Monday: May Housing Market Index,

Tuesday: April Housing Starts, April Building Permits, April Industrial Production

Thursday: Initial Unemployment Claims, Continuing Claims, April Existing Home Sales, May Philadelphia Fed, April Leading Indicators

Sector Spotlight

Leaders: (NYSEArca: EPU) Peru, (NYSEArca: IBB) Biotech

Laggards: (NYSEArca: TUR) Turkey, (NYSEArca: EWP) Spain’

IMF warns EU debt crisis may still spread to core Reuters | spite bailouts for Greece, Ireland and Portugal, Europe’s debt crisis may yet spread to core euro zone countries.

Medicare, Social Security Funds Expiring Sooner, U.S. Says Bloomberg | Medicare and Social Security are running out of money sooner than expected.

50 Things Every American Should Know About The Collapse Of The Economy Right now, we are witnessing a truly historic collapse of the economy, and yet most Americans do not understand what is going on. One of the biggest reasons why the American people do not understand what is happening to the economy is because our politicians and the mainstream media are not telling the truth.

Geithner Predicts Double-Dip if Congress Fails to Lift Debt Ceiling [ How ‘bout the reality of double dip even if they don’t. Keep in mind, they’ve spent money they don’t have, the manipulations of themselves for appearances / talking points, etc., have been detrimental to the economy of themselves. Why should anyone believe them now, certainly not wobama; after all, we’ve heard this all before, and certainly in his false campaign promises, breach of which has indeed made the continuing financial crisis worse. Obama warns of worse crisis if no debt ceiling rise Reuters | President Barack Obama warned Congress that failing to raise the U.S. debt limit could lead to a worse financial crisis. IMF warns EU debt crisis may still spread to core Reuters | spite bailouts for Greece, Ireland and Portugal, Europe’s debt crisis may yet spread to core euro zone countries.]

MF chief jailed without bail in NY hotel-sex case (AP) AP - Haggard and unshaven after a weekend in jail, the chief of the International Monetary Fund was denied release on bail Monday on charges of trying to rape a hotel maid as allegations of other, similar attacks by Dominique Strauss-Kahn began to spill out. US hits credit limit, setting up 11-week fight (AP)

[$$] Troubling Action Collins ‘It may only be one day during a week or during a month, but today didn't have a good feel to it. Dollar weakness brought no money into the usual names. Equities, oil, silver -- they all sold off hard, even as the dollar failed to gain any traction today. This wasn't a rotation. It was an evacuation. If today wasn't bad enough, after the bell, internal notes from Hewlett Packard seem to indicate that another tough quarter is on the way. The closing number on the SPDR S&P 500 held the very level of support keeping me from being much more bearish. The HPQ drop after the bell has dragged the SPY below the $133 level. Still, I believe we have to watch the action tomorrow along with the closing value. It is quite possible the U.S. reaching its debt limit today prompted some selling...’

Social Security deficits now ‘permanent’ Social Security will run a permanent yearly deficit when looking at the program’s tax revenues compared to what it must pay out in benefits, the program’s trustees said Friday in a report that found both the outlook for Social Security and Medicare, the two major federal social safety-net programs, have worsened over the last year.

Gold demand strong; predicted prices around $2000 Dubai Chronicle | Physical demand for gold has raised in the Far East and Asia.

Massive Debt Means Weaker Dollar for Years to Come The elitists who run America from behind the scenes have serious problems in trying to keep a badly damaged financial and economic system afloat. Ironically, these same characters are the ones responsible for the system and the condition that it is in today.

IMF warns EU debt crisis may still spread to core Reuters | spite bailouts for Greece, Ireland and Portugal, Europe’s debt crisis may yet spread to core euro zone countries.

The College Debt Scam Kurt Nimmo | So-called higher education is about government loans at high interest rates.


Global Demand for U.S. Assets Fell in March Bloomberg | Global demand for U.S. stocks, bonds and other financial assets weakened in March.


US builders see little to like in housing market Houston Chronicle | U.S. homebuilders are concerned.


Top 3 Reasons Markets were Down as US Debt Ceiling Reached Wall St.Cheat Sheet ‘Markets closed down on Wall Street: DJI -0.38% SP500 -0.62% Nasdaq -1.63% Gold -0.25% Oil -2.62% .

Markets started the day down, climbed back, and as soon as the Nasdaq (NASDAQ:QQQ) got to par traders sold the remainder of the day. On the commodities front, Oil (NYSE:USO) had the same pattern as it kissed $99 a barrel then sold off to $97. Gold (NYSE:GLD) ended the day below $1,500 an ounce, and Silver (NYSE:SLV) got slammed over 4% after rising over 3% last Friday. Is Silver a Bubble Bursting Now?

Fresh Off the Press: Wall St. Cheat Sheet’s newest Feature Trades of the Month>>

Today’s markets were down because:

1) IMF Chief Abuses Position. Dominique Strauss-Kahn is facing 7 counts of sexual assault related crimes. Since the man is completely replaceable, we’re not sure why this should matter to markets. Regardless, the juicy tabloid-style news sparked lots of hot air about what will happen to the EU’s handling of the debt crisis. We’re sure they’ll get on fine without ole’ Strauss-Kahn.

2) Tech picked up where it left off on Friday. Clearly, the bubblicious activity in Silicon Valley is cooling a bit. Yahoo (NASDAQ:YHOO) got taken to the shed again — down 4.4% — and fell below the technical $16 mark. Investors are still shocked about the lack of control and awareness regarding major Yahoo assets such as Alibaba. This means people are scared there’s more roaches in the hotel. But Indian internet company Rediff.com (NASDAQ:REDF) has it worse. The company was down over 20% today. Baidu (NASDAQ:BIDU), Google (NASDAQ:GOOG), eBay (NASDAQ:EBAY), AOL (NYSE:AOL), Sohu (NASDAQ:SOHU), and IACI (NASDAQ:IACI) all got slammed as well as it seems traders are working a “short internet” strategy. At least Wall St. Cheat Sheet expert contributor (and Board member) Larry Kramer has some great ideas how Yahoo can preserve their audience and increase cash flow.

3) The US has hit the debt limit. US Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner rang the death knell this morning as the US officially crashed into the legal debt ceiling. Maybe that’s China (NYSE:FXI) has been dumping US Treasuries 5 straight months. Should we be scared? Forbes editor John Tamny gave Wall St. Cheat Sheet an exclusive first look at why irony is dripping from Geithner’s “Economic Catastrophe” rationale for raising the debt ceiling.

Larry Kramer has some great ideas how Yahoo can preserve their audience and increase cash flow.Larry Kramer is the Founder and Former CEO of CBS Marketwatch.com. He was the first president of CBS Digital (NYSE:CBS) and sits on the Boards of Discovery Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ:DISCA), American Media Inc., Freedom Communications, Inc., Answers Corp., Black Arrow Inc., and Harvard Business School Publishing. He is the author of the book C-Scape: Conquer the Forces Changing Business Today and runs a blog by the same name.

Yahoo (NASDAQ:YHOO) is 17 years old, and like any teenage it’s having an identity crisis. It used to be a tech company, dominated by engineers who won the Portal Wars, ultimately defeating AOL (NYSE:AOL), Excite and wounding MSN (NASDAQ:MSFT). Because it was a cool company and one that gave new-to-the-internet users (that was all of us, at the time) the best overall experience, it triumphed.

Its success happened because it was the best experience on the web, and for many years kept surprising its users with new and interesting things to do online.

But along the way, like many kids its age, it got diverted from its mission of pleasing its users. This happened for a number of reasons. Competition grew and while Yahoo (NASDAQ:YHOO) got comfortable in its business model as an aggregator of content, deriving revenue streams from partners, it left behind that commitment to give users exactly what they want. Instead, it gave them what the highest paying partners were willing to give them. So when consumers got more sophisticated about what content they wanted, and how they used digital platforms, competitors popped up and started picking them off.

In search and email, along came Google (NASDAQ:GOOG). In social media, along came Facebook. In music, first came My Space then came ITunes (NASDAQ:AAPL). In news and information categories, hundreds of existing and new businesses got better on the web.

There is an interesting post about Google by Matt Rossoff on Business Insider this morning that is a perfect backdrop for this post. It’s thesis is that Google (NASDAQ:GOOG) needs to hire some Liberal Arts Majors before it hires any more engineers.

“Engineers are great at solving problems,” the post reads. “But they’re not always so great at figuring out which problems to solve.”

Yahoo (NASDAQ:YHOO) has figured out that Content has become king on the Internet and across digital platforms, but it still hasn’t figured out what it has to do to become a great content company. It is still a company run by engineers. In fact, after an ultimately less-than-successful CEO reign by Hollywood Mogul Terry Semple, Yahoo saw the engineers come back and take an even stronger hold on the company. Actually, the engineers never really let go. Even when content people were hired with large promise, control of the key pages on Yahoo was kept in the hands of engineers.

To be sure, even though the next CEO, Carol Bartz, came from the technology industry, she fairly quickly decided the company had fallen too far behind in technology in several areas to compete and wisely announced that Yahoo was now a “content company.” It then did begin to spend some serious money to build its own content. It has built some strong franchises in Yahoo Finance and Sports, for example.

But the company hasn’t really taken the plunge. For it to be a content business, content people have to run the company. The business has to be obsessed with what it’s consumers want and be able to give them that and much more. In fact then need to give them things that they didn’t know they wanted. Content consumers ultimately need to be surprised and fully expect their sources of information to be smarter than they are about the topics they are reading or viewing.

Content businesses need an editorial intelligence, and personality, built and maintained by a strong team of creative people, whether they are called editors or producers, they need to be obsessed by giving their readers everything they want and much, much more. They need to live for delighting their customers. And they need to include the CEO or someone reporting directly to the CEO.

No one reads a magazine, or goes to a play or movie, expecting to see exactly what they want to see. They expect to be surprised, entertained or even educated. The brilliance of a great content company, whether it’s The New York Times (NYSE:NYT) or Warner Bros. or Harper Collins or The Harvard Business Review or Conde Nast, is that it cultivates and rewards people who can figure out what is about to become interesting before its audience knows. It does that by giving creative people the time and rope, and even the ability to fail, en route to creating great content, whether it’s explanatory journalism or a moving and entertaining movie, TV show or Magazine article.

Those creative types, as difficult to understand and to manage as they are, are the secret sauce. They need to permeate to process. Great engineers will be needed to create great tools, sites, apps and many other aspects of what makes a media company great in the future. But they must work arm in arm with the creative content people who are defining the brand and who understand the needs of their consumers.

A great example is the recent launch of News Corp’s (NASDAQ:NWSA) IPad news product, “The Daily.” Despite the fact that the company has done exactly the right thing by creating a content company to specifically exploit a new medium (the tablet), the initial product was designed largely by engineers before the first journalists were brought on board — because people didn’t want to hire reporters and editors before they had any place to put their content. Then, when the journalists got there, the technological underpinning of the product was about done and guess what, it was over-engineered and wasn’t the least bit user friendly. The engineers built a product from specs so it would take advantage the new platform, but no one spent enough time thinking about how the audience would actually want or use the information.

As the product matures and as the technology of tablets improves, The Daily could grow an awesome audience. But it has to go through some difficult transitions. It might even find that there is a large audience for its content on other digital platforms and broaden its distribution. But that’s OK, it’s one of the first native digital news products in existence and it has a real chance to learn to be great before it’s caught.

Back to Yahoo (NASDAQ:YHOO), it’s hard to say from the outside if it’s too late to save. But they still something that is very hard to build from scratch: a huge audience and some real cash flow. They could finance a real run at becoming the next generation media company. It’s still an easier path for them to go that way than for an existing media player to go heavily digital, because those companies don’t want to risk the huge revenue streams they already have from existing distribution, whether that’s print, video or audio. But the future is in the combination of the three on to the digital platform and there appears to still be room for some new winners. Are We Entering the Golden Era of Media?>>

Larry Kramer is the Founder and Former CEO of CBS Marketwatch.com. He was the first president of CBS Digital (NYSE:CBS) and sits on the Boards of Discovery Communications, Inc. (NASDAQ:DISCA), American Media Inc., Freedom Communications, Inc., Answers Corp., Black Arrow Inc., and Harvard Business School Publishing. He is the author of the book C-Scape: Conquer the Forces Changing Business Today and runs a blog by the same name

This is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! Remember: ‘Sell in May and go away! …

America Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog | It’s now mainstream news that none of the big financial criminals have been prosecuted. This is the grim economic reality [ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm ]. Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding / April Is a Good Time to Sell Adler ( I quite agree … overvalued to the hilt in this new manipulated bubble … at the least a 'sell in May and go away', but 'don't be mentally ill, sell in April!' ) Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar 'Despite the terrible economic performance of the past ten years, equity valuations are the 2nd largest bubble in U.S. history... the cause and the potential ramifications of this are astounding. . According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued according to this valuation metric. The only time the markets have been more overvalued was a few brief months in 1929 and the tech bubble. [chart http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/4/12/saupload_cape_thumb1.png ]

Exhibit 2: The Q ratio, which measures total market value compared to its replacement cost.

The Q-ratio data in the chart below dates back to 1900. According to the data, the markets have now surpassed the 1929 peak valuation by over 8%.

[chart http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/4/12/saupload_q_ratio_thumb1.png ]

… bubbles turn a believable story/trend into an overvaluation. In the 1700s during the South Sea Bubble...Railroading prospects induced a bubble in the late 1800s ... In the 1920s, a bubble … A similar life-changing invention – the Internet – swept the attention of investors in the 1990s ...

What is the story today? The prospect of inflation? High unemployment?

Exhibit 3: The gap between projected 12-month earnings against the 10-year average

...
the market is stretching this reversion greater than 2000 and 2007!

[chart http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/4/12/saupload_gap_between_12_month_average_thumb1.png ]

... growth in earnings have been artificially manufactured...

· The change in accounting rules for the financial sector by FASB has generated massive “false” account profits beginning in 2009.

· The extended (and then further extended) unemployment benefits have kept an artificially higher demand for consumer consumption. As a result, the US government has artificially subsidized corporate profits.

· The billions saved through “free loading” by homeowners who have defaulted on their mortgages yet maintained their residence, thus living without a mortgage payment.

· The artificially suppressed interest rates.

So, not only do we have a valuation bubble, but the earnings on which the projections are based are non-sustaining... same overvaluation situation as a few years ago … nothing fixed ...'

Davis ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ .

End of the “Service Economy”? European McDonald’s Partially Replacing Employees with Touchscreen Terminals McDonald’s is to change the way customers order its meals in Europe, partly replacing cashiers and the use of banknotes at its 7,000 fast-food restaurants in the region with touchscreen terminals and swipe cards.

Chinese Treasury Holdings Decline For Fifth Month In A Row, Biggest Drop Since November 2010 At 9 am, Treasury released its March TIC (international funds flow) data. While the headline number of $116 billion in total net TIC flows was slightly higher than February at $116.0 billion compared to $97.7 previously, the net number (offset by US transactions in foreign securities) missed expectations of $33 billion, printing at $24 billion.

Savers May Flee U.S. Banks: The Dominoes Are Starting To Fall Sprott said the “ultimate event” is that savers will take their money out of banks and invest in precious metals such as gold, which he says is now the world’s reserve currency.

Zimbabwe Says Days Of The US Dollar Are Numbered, Pushes For Gold-Backed Local Currency [ When you reach the point when classic Weimar-zimbabwe-land though kindred ‘wobama the b’ (for b***s***) spirit jive-talkers can legitimately and correctly say the dollar’s done, you know you’ve reached the bottom, marking the end of the once great, now pervasively corrupt, fallen, and defacto bankrupt america. ] Topping off a weekend of surreal news is the announcement from the Central Bank of Zimbabwe that the country is now evaluating introducing a gold-backed Zimbabwean dollar, and, in keeping with the Salvador Dali feel to the past 48 hours, that the “days of the US dollar as the world’s reserve currency are numbered.”

D.C. area foreclosures decline The number of homes that entered foreclosure is down by 56 percent. (Washington Post) [ I’d say that’s a direct consequence of the flawed paperwork debacle and being in close geographic proximity to ‘those in d.c.’ who are supposed to be watching these things (the same federal circuit – lots of political pressure). Don’t worry however, there are plenty more to come!

Wall Street's second weekly fall raises fear of retreat (Reuters) Stocks ended a second week of losses on a down note Friday, reflecting growing worries that stocks are on the precipice of a pullback. [ Fear? Worries? How ‘bout realities … the ones the insiders already know … Stock Market: 4 Current Warning Signs Navin ‘No one indicator by itself can be trusted. Many indicators taken as whole, however, can offer valuable guidance when a clear pattern develops. Right now, that guidance appears to warn about current conditions.

1) The 5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565 sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher. Yes, it’s normal for insiders to be selling some of their stocks so they can buy new yachts and some of this is pre-planned. But that ratio — which has spiked recently — is extraordinarily high, one might even say off-the-chart.

2) Professor Shiller at Yale figures that the present price-to-earnings ratio for the Standard & Poor’s 500 is in the area of 26. The historical average is about 16. Although p/e’s can remain elevated for longer than you would imagine, reversion to the mean eventually takes place. Such a reversion would knock off almost 40% of current price. From today’s level, that would put the S&P 500 at about 800. Some shake their heads when I mention this, but it wasn’t too many months ago that we just broke above that.

3) The failure of the financial sector to keep up is a significant negative divergence for the entire market. Tom Aspray’s charts demonstrate the unfortunate price patterns of some big banks. I’ve mentioned this as well, previously. It’s hard to imagine how much further a rally can go without support from financials.

4) Key market leaders are rolling over in price. This is a significant change of trend. ‘ Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding Stocks slip after three-day rally (Washington Post) [ Top 3 Reasons Markets Tanked with Oil WSCS‘DJI -1.02% SP500 -1.11% Nasdaq -0.93% Gold -0.82% Oil -4.63% at $98.88. Gold sold off ..Silver lost over 8%.

1) Commodities and Oil got slaughtered. .. widening trade gap.

2) Insiders finally getting busted... 24 Signs Of Economic Decline In America ‘The US is in the middle of a devastating long-term economic decline’ ] States face shortfall for retirees (WP) (The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed), and have used the mideast turmoil to obfuscate their failure. ]


Pay credit cards or mortgage? (Washington Post) [ How ‘bout none of the above! That’s certainly a coming reality if not already there. Things are far worse than reported and the worst yet to come.] As Americans unload more than $100 billion in debt leftover from the heady days of the economic boom, many households face a daunting question. Wall Street's second weekly fall raises fear of retreat (Reuters) Stocks ended a second week of losses on a down note Friday, reflecting growing worries that stocks are on the precipice of a pullback. [ Fear? Worries? How ‘bout realities … the ones the insiders already know … Navin (see infra) ‘…1) The 5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565 sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher. Yes, it’s normal for insiders to be selling some of their stocks so they can buy new yachts and some of this is pre-planned. But that ratio — which has spiked recently — is extraordinarily high, one might even say off-the-chart…’ 28 Statistics About The Gutting Of The U.S. Economy That Will Blow Your Mind ‘Red alert! Over 40 billion dollars of America’s national wealth is being shipped out of the country every single month. Our economy is being gutted and we are bleeding wealth and we are bleeding jobs. The American Dream 5-11-11 Red alert! Over 40 billion dollars of America’s national wealth is being shipped out of the country every single month. Our economy is being gutted and we are bleeding wealth and we are bleeding jobs. This is a distress call. Is anyone listening? Thousands of our factories and millions of our jobs are being shipped overseas. Over the past decade over 6 trillion dollars have been transferred into the hands of foreigners. Our national government is so broke that they constantly have to go and beg those foreigners to lend us back some of that money in order to finance our exploding debt. The number of good jobs continues to decline and there are millions upon millions of my countrymen that are unemployed. Can anybody help us? Mayday! Mayday! Mayday!Sadly, the vast majority of Americans really are dead asleep on this issue... ‘ Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding Stocks slip after three-day rally (Washington Post) [ Top 3 Reasons Markets Tanked with Oil

1) Commodities and Oil got slaughtered. .. widening trade gap.

2) Insiders finally getting busted.. but what about what large banks, investment banks, and mortgage companies did to the US economy…these insider trading cases are basically sideshows…

24 Signs Of Economic Decline In America ‘The US is in the middle of a devastating long-term economic decline’ ] States face shortfall for retirees (WP) (The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed), and have used the mideast turmoil to obfuscate their failure. ]



Diana film causes stir at Cannes “Unlawful Killing” has a combination of celebrity, controversy and canny hype-mongering. (Washington Post) [ Let’s not kid ourselves … and, Dodi Fayed’s father was no dope and knew the score. Indeed, it’s not coincidental that William’s the over-riding favorite of granny Liz II; after all, Harry’s the bastard son of Hewitt (don’t buy into their DNA proffer which they did buy – you know, that ‘bloodline thing’). Moreover, it was reported that Diana had another ‘potential challenger in the oven’ at the time of her death and we all know how dicey such english affairs of state can be (ie., Henry VIII, Richard III, etc.). Then there’s the contempt of Diana for having brought the son of her bosom, Chas, down. Do I think she said flat out ‘kill Diana’. No … more of a ‘do what’s necessary’ to mi6 et als. Ultimately, William will require some substantial therapy to sort out this looming conflict. After all, Diana was his mother. Drudgereport: British woman decapitated in grocery store; killer flees with head... Cannes: Diana doc slams UK royals as 'gangsters'... Though having but 5% of the world’s population, u.s. has 76% of the world’s serial killers, http://www.albertpeia.com/realifeamericaserialkillers.mpg . Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on military than all the nations of the world combined... fed employees / contractors, cia, all 3 branches of u.s. gov’t, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm ]:

CRIME STATISTICS >(america is No. 1).

Rank

Countries

Amount

# 1

United States:

11,877,218

# 2

United Kingdom:

6,523,706

# 3

Germany:

6,507,394

Financialization and Our Increasingly Unstable Economy Roche 'The worst part of it ...Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place’ ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ). UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE... In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ' Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud WP | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.



In Greece, austerity and discontent Anarchist movement is resurgent as the nation’s financial woes kindle deep frustration and threaten a breakdown in the rule of law. (Washington Post) [ Coming to a state near you … Greece launches massive fire sale to service growing debt as riot police clash with violent protesters A general strike held today has seen most public services grind to a halt across the country, while thousands marched through Athens to protest against harsh austerity measures. Stock Market: 4 Current Warning Signs Navin ‘No one indicator by itself can be trusted. Many indicators taken as whole, however, can offer valuable guidance when a clear pattern develops. Right now, that guidance appears to warn about current conditions.

1) The 5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565 sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher. Yes, it’s normal for insiders to be selling some of their stocks so they can buy new yachts and some of this is pre-planned. But that ratio — which has spiked recently — is extraordinarily high, one might even say off-the-chart.

2) Professor Shiller at Yale figures that the present price-to-earnings ratio for the Standard & Poor’s 500 is in the area of 26. The historical average is about 16. Although p/e’s can remain elevated for longer than you would imagine, reversion to the mean eventually takes place. Such a reversion would knock off almost 40% of current price. From today’s level, that would put the S&P 500 at about 800. Some shake their heads when I mention this, but it wasn’t too many months ago that we just broke above that.

3) The failure of the financial sector to keep up is a significant negative divergence for the entire market. Tom Aspray’s charts demonstrate the unfortunate price patterns of some big banks. I’ve mentioned this as well, previously. It’s hard to imagine how much further a rally can go without support from financials.

4) Key market leaders are rolling over in price. Take a look at Google (GOOG), one of the hottest stocks going in the recent rally. It appears to have peaked in January and is unable to set new highs even as the S&P continued upward. GOOG’s 50-day moving average has turned downward and has crossed below the 200-day moving average. This is a significant change of trend. ‘ ]

Pakistan after Bin Laden? NYTimes.com You’re talking about the last decade … Wake up! ( see infra)

Pakistani spy chief apologetic, but defiant (Washington Post) Amid public outrage over the U.S. operation that killed Osama bin Laden, Lt. Gen. Ahmed Shuja Pasha apologizes before Parliament and offers to resign...’ [

Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government ... May 1, 2011 ... U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every 3 days ... http://whatreallyhappened.com/WRHARTICLES/osama_dead.php

ON MAY 1, 2011, JUST MOMENTS BEFORE PRESIDENT OBAMA ANNOUNCED THAT THE US HAD KILLED OSAMA BIN LADEN, THE WHATREALLYHAPPENED WEBSITE CAME UNDER MASSIVE DISTRIBUTED DENIAL OF SERVICE ATTACK. THIS PAGE, WHICH DOCUMENTS THAT OSAMA BIN LADEN ACTUALLY DIED IN DECEMBER OF 2001, APPEARS TO BE WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DIDN'T WANT AVAILABLE WHILE THE NEW PROPAGANDA WAS "CATAPULTED FORWARD". IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS IS THE OPENING GAMBIT IN A PLAN TO STAGE A "REVENGE" ATTACK FROM "AL QAEDA" ON THE UNITED STATES, WITH WHICH TO JUSTIFY TOTAL WAR ON THE MIDDLE EAST.

Bin Laden's voice was detected regularly until [14 December 2001] by intelligence operatives monitoring radio transmissions in Tora Bora, according to the Pentagon [details]. Since then, nothing has been heard from the al-Qa'eda leader and President Bush has hinted in private that bin Laden's silence could mean he has been killed. [Telegraph, 12/28/2001]

Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government

Osama bin Laden is dead. The news first came from sources in Afghanistan and Pakistan almost six months ago: the fugitive died in December [2001] and was buried in the mountains of southeast Afghanistan. Pakistan's president, Pervez Musharraf, echoed the information. The remnants of Osama's gang, however, have mostly stayed silent, either to keep Osama's ghost alive or because they have no means of communication.

With an ego the size of Mount Everest, Osama bin Laden would not have, could not have, remained silent for so long if he were still alive. He always liked to take credit even for things he had nothing to do with. Would he remain silent for nine months and not trumpet his own survival? [New York Times. July 11, 2002]

FOX News Report: Bin Laden Already Dead

Usama bin Laden has died a peaceful death due to an untreated lung complication, the Pakistan Observer reported, citing a Taliban leader who allegedly attended the funeral of the Al Qaeda leader.

[Fox News. December 26, 2001]

Bin Laden has often been reported to be in poor health. Some accounts claim that he is suffering from Hepatitis C, and can expect to live for only two more years. According to Le Figaro, last year [2000] he ordered a mobile dialysis machine to be delivered to his base at Kandahar in Afghanistan. [Guardian]

Peter Bergen: Bin Laden has aged 'enormously'

This is a man who was clearly not well. I mean, as you see from these pictures here, he's really, by December [2001] he's looking pretty terrible…’ ]

ECONOMIC CRISIS ARCHIVE

National / World

Pakistan: US Has Overstayed Welcome Tony Cartalucci | Amidst drone attacks & bombings, Pakistan threatens to strand US forces in Afghanistan.

Deaths at Syria-Lebanon-Israel borders Aljazeera | Three people have been shot dead and at least five others, including a Lebanese soldier, have been injured.

Tex Rep. David Simpson: Bill Would Criminalize TSA for Molesting Travelers Alex Jones Channel | The bill will make it a criminal offense for the TSA to inappropriately touch travelers during airport intrusive pat-downs.

In the Theater of the Absurd: US-NATO Support “Al Qaeda in Libya” Gerald A. Perreira | In the Theatre of the Absurd, anything is possible. However, this latest scenario in Libya has taken absurdity to a whole new dimension.

Creating the Bin Laden “Reality” Paul Craig Roberts | If you believe this, I have a bridge in Brooklyn that I can let you have for a cheap price.

Ahmadinejad: US Was Holding Bin Laden For a Long Time Before His Death Press TV | The Iranian chief executive added that he has “precise information” that bin Laden was being held by US military for a long time before his death.

Japan’s Latest Proposal To Contain Fukushima’s Radioactive Fallout – A (Circus) Tent Tyler Durden | Dow Jones reports that the latest scheme to come out of TEPCO is to cover Fukushima with a giant tent.

Even MSNBC’s Chris Matthews Admits the CIA is Engaging in “Psy-Ops” With The Bin Laden Raid Youtube | Matthews says that the CIA is using “psy-ops” to put out “little colonels of information” .

Bin Laden’s “One Million Page Cache” Will Be Used To Legitimize Official 9/11 Fable Paul Watson | The White House claims it has recovered one million pages of data from the Bin Laden compound.

Ludicrous Bin Laden “Porno” Claim Harks Back To CIA Fakery Paul Joseph Watson | Spooks admitted creating hoax videotapes of Osama talking about having sex with boys. [ Yeah! This is becoming preposterous and it’s quite amazing that anyone’s believing anything they say. Next thing you know, they’ll be saying beyond the porn stash, Bin Laden was a closet Christian. Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government ... May 1, 2011 ... U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every 3 days ... http://whatreallyhappened.com/WRHARTICLES/osama_dead.php

ON MAY 1, 2011, JUST MOMENTS BEFORE PRESIDENT OBAMA ANNOUNCED THAT THE US HAD KILLED OSAMA BIN LADEN, THE WHATREALLYHAPPENED WEBSITE CAME UNDER MASSIVE DISTRIBUTED DENIAL OF SERVICE ATTACK. THIS PAGE, WHICH DOCUMENTS THAT OSAMA BIN LADEN ACTUALLY DIED IN DECEMBER OF 2001, APPEARS TO BE WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DIDN'T WANT AVAILABLE WHILE THE NEW PROPAGANDA WAS "CATAPULTED FORWARD". IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS IS THE OPENING GAMBIT IN A PLAN TO STAGE A "REVENGE" ATTACK FROM "AL QAEDA" ON THE UNITED STATES, WITH WHICH TO JUSTIFY TOTAL WAR ON THE MIDDLE EAST… [ infra, for article text ]]

Trump Exits After Allowing Obama To Neutralize Birther Controversy Birth certificate scam done and dusted, and Trump high-tails it. He allowed the corporate media to characterize the birther issue as a joke and prompted Obama to release a document that was quickly proven to be a fraud before the Bin Laden fable obliterated it from the news cycle.

Trailer: Webster Tarpley & Elite’s Plan for Global Extermination In this interview, Dr. Tarpley reviews the writings of John P. Holdren, the current White House science advisor. This interview conclusively exposes scientific elite’s true agenda, world-wide genocide and the formation of a global government to rule.

Secret Weather Weapons Can Kill Millions, Warns Top Russian Politician A top Duma political leader caused shock waves in a recent television interview when he warned that Russia could deploy an arsenal of new technology to “destroy any part of the planet” and kill over a hundred million people using secret weather weapons if the United States, the UN or Georgia tried to stop Russia’s entry into the WTO.

Will Gaddafi End up in Hague? Corbett on Arrest Warrant Request Commenting about the war crimes court dission to issue a warrant on Gaddafi’s arrest, an independent journalist James Corbett said that justice is turning into a political and military tool in coalition’s hands in Libya.

Gerald Celente: Raping – Part of IMF Business RT talks to Gerald Celente, the director of the Trends Research Institute in New York.

CBS Demonizes Constitutionalists In a 60 Minutes hit piece, constitutionalists who believe the federal government has grabbed too much power and has become tyrannical are lumped in with Jerry Kane and his 16-year-old son Joseph. Kane and his son, who claimed to be aligned with the sovereign citizen movement, gunned down two Arkansas cops during a traffic stop and were killed by police 90 minutes later.

TEPCO admits nuclear meltdown occurred at Fukushima reactor 16 hours after quake Tokyo Electric Power Co. (TEPCO) admitted for the first time on May 15 that most of the fuel in one of its nuclear reactors at the Fukushima No. 1 Nuclear Power Plant had melted only about 16 hours after the March 11 earthquake struck a wide swath of northeastern Japan and triggered a devastating tsunami.

Full Complaint Against DSK Released, Detailing Allegation Of Forced Oral And Anal Sex, And Much More International Monetary Fund chief Dominique Strauss-Kahn allegedly forced a New York City hotel housekeeper to perform oral sex and submit to anal sex, in addition to allegedly attempting to rape her, according to a complaint filed today by the office of Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus Vance.

Media Silent About Plutonium Contamination of Japanese Rice The Japanese Business Press reported on May 14 that a rice field more than 50 kilometers away from the Fukushima nuclear plant has tested for high levels of deadly plutonium.

Globalists Like To Rape Women, As Well As Nations Given the fact that the likes of IMF head Dominique Strauss-Kahn and other top globalists are intent on raping the national and monetary sovereignty of countries in pursuit of their new world order, it’s no surprise that they also seem pre-occupied with raping women, amongst a host of other sordid and predatory perversions.

Globalists’ Secret Weapon Exposed: Tech Kill Chips Infowars | In addition to Obama’s stranglehold on the Internet, all smart devices have federally-mandated control and kill switches added.

Trailer: Webster Tarpley & Elite’s plan for global extermination PrisonPlanet.tv | In an exclusive PrisonPlanet.tv interview, Dr. Tarpley reviews the writings of White House advisor John P. Holdren.

CBS Demonizes Constitutionalists Kurt Nimmo | Segment portrays constitutionalists as a violent threat to police and the state.

Secret Weather Weapons Can Kill Millions, Warns Top Russian Politician Paul Joseph Watson | Influential political leader says Russia has capability to “destroy any part of the planet” with new technology

Media Silent About Plutonium Contamination of Japanese Rice Kurt Nimmo | Corporate media has consistently parroted statements from TEPCO and the Japanese government.

Double Digit Inflation has Arrived Nonetheless, in the latest report from economist John Williams of Shadowstats.com, even the government’s own “official” numbers will likely show double digit inflation in the next three months or so.

‘Depleted uranium in Libya will kill, not protect’ NATO is now deeply entrenched in Libya in what looks like a civil war and there is no visible end to the illegal intervention, insists British anti-nuclear activist Kate Hudson from the Campaign for Nuclear Disarmament.

Oils of War: Pentagon Cementing Iraq Footprint? RT | Publicly, the US says nations must be self-determinate; Behind the scenes there’s more interference.

Congress To Vote On Declaration of Worldwide Perpetual War; No Borders, No Clear Enemies Intel Hub | The legislation authorizes the President to take unilateral military action against all hostile nations, organizations, and persons.

Disney Trademarks “Seal Team 6″ Fishbowl Ny | It is a perfect example of a big media company capitalizing on curent events.

Geithner Predicts Double-Dip if Congress Fails to Lift Debt Ceiling Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner said if Congress fails to lift the debt ceiling and the U.S. defaults on its obligations “this abrupt contraction would likely push us into a double dip recession,” painting the most explicitly dire prediction to date of the consequences of inaction.

Bin Laden’s “One Million Page Cache” Will Be Used To Legitimize Official 9/11 Fable The White House claims it has recovered one million pages of data from the Bin Laden compound. This is already being used to legitimize the phony narrative of the war on terror and will most likely be cited as a casus belli with which to fortify the official story behind 9/11, while neutralizing a plethora of other inconvenient questions and cover-ups.

Mystery of the helicopter that landed at scene of Dr Kelly’s death after his body was found A helicopter mysteriously landed at the scene of Dr David Kelly’s death shortly after the body was found. The aircraft only remained on the ground for five minutes before leaving, suggesting it either deposited or collected somebody or something.

Administration Approves 200 More New Obamacare Waivers The Obama administration approved 204 new waivers to Democrats’ healthcare reform law over the past month, bringing the total to 1,372.

Even MSNBC’s Chris Matthews Admits the CIA is Engaging in “Psy-Ops” With The Bin Laden Raid Matthews says that the CIA is using “psy-ops” to put out “little colonels of information” to humiliate Bin Laden, with particular reference to the ludicrous story of the porno stash allegedly found in his compound.

Pakistan Demands End To US Drone Attacks Pakistan’s parliament has demanded an end to American drone strikes and called for an independent inquiry into the US special forces raid that killed Osama bin Laden.

Gaddafi: ‘Nato Airstrikes Are Cowardly’ Colonel Muammar Gaddafi has called Nato airstrikes “cowardly” – and stated that he had retreated to a place “you cannot reach”.

Eight Killed as Israeli Troops Open Fire on Nakba Day Border Protests; Israel Blames Iran Israeli troops opened fire on pro-Palestinian demonstrators attempting to breach its borders on three fronts, killing at least eight people. Scores more were wounded at Israel’s borders with Syria, Lebanon and Gaza.

Video and Photos of Nakba Day Riots and ‘Terror Truck’ Attack Hundreds of Arabs rioted throughout Israel the past three days in “Nakba Day” protests against the re-establishment of Israel.

IMF Head Charged Over Alleged Sex Attack The head of the IMF has been charged with a criminal sexual act, attempted rape and unlawful imprisonment, following allegations made by a hotel maid in New York.

DSK Rape Arrest To Derail Global Currency Plan? Next up: we expect a letter from the IMF disclosing how the world will end if charges are pursued and if, heaven forbid, the IMF head is thrown in jail.

Ahmadinejad: US Was Holding Bin Laden For a Long Time Before His Death The Iranian chief executive added that he has “precise information” that bin Laden was being held by US military for a long time before his death, IRNA reported.

Creating the Bin Laden “Reality” The government has created another reality for us proles. We won again. Us white hats got the black hat, just like in the western movie. Fantasy is better than fact, and us good guys are on a roll. It makes everybody happy, even those who have lost their jobs, their houses, their pensions.

CIA has created own Taliban to wreak terror havoc on Pakistan, claims Pak paper Central Intelligence Agency (CIA) operatives have infiltrated the Taliban and Al-Qaeda networks, and have created their own Tehrik-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP) force in order to destabilise Pakistan, a Pakistani newspaper has claimed.

Judicial Watch Sues for Release of Bin Laden Death Photos On May 12, the DOD responded saying that they would not produce the documents within the time required by FOIA. Judicial Watch filed a lawsuit to force the DOD to comply with the law.

In the Theater of the Absurd: US-NATO Support “Al Qaeda in Libya” “We are fighting nothing other than al-Qaeda in what they call the Islamic Maghreb. It’s an armed group that is fighting from Libya to Mauritania and through Algeria and Mali.… If you had found them taking over American cities by the force of arms, tell me what you would do?” – From a letter sent by the Libyan leader Muammar Qadhafi to the US president Barack Obama.

UK Set For “Planned-Opolis” With Devastating 80% Cuts in Carbon Emissions Cabinet ministers have agreed a far-reaching, legally binding “green deal” that will commit the UK to two decades of drastic cuts in carbon emissions. The package will require sweeping changes to domestic life, transport and business.

Ron Paul suggests basic freedoms depend on property rights The establishment tried to use this nuanced issue to claim that Ron’s son, Rand Paul, was a racist hatemonger, and they failed miserably. Rand swept to victory – crushing his opponent in the Senate race.

THREE Nuclear Containment Vessels Leaking in Japan … But U.S. Law Is Based on Assumption that It Is Impossible for Containment Vessels to Leak It is newsworthy that the operator of Japan’s stricken nuclear plants is finally admitting that Fukushima reactor number 1 has melted down. But nuclear expert Arnie Gundersen says that the containment vessels for reactors 1, 2 and 3 are all leaking.

Fukushima Daiichi plant worker dies NHK | A worker at the Fukushima Daiichi nuclear power plant fell unconscious at work on Saturday.

Wall Street's second weekly fall raises fear of retreat (Reuters) Reuters - Stocks ended a second week of losses on a down note Friday, reflecting growing worries that stocks are on the precipice of a pullback. [ Fear? Worries? How ‘bout realities … the ones the insiders already know … Navin (see infra) ‘…1) The 5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565 sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher. Yes, it’s normal for insiders to be selling some of their stocks so they can buy new yachts and some of this is pre-planned. But that ratio — which has spiked recently — is extraordinarily high, one might even say off-the-chart…’ ]



Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government ...May 1, 2011 ... U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every 3 days ... http://whatreallyhappened.com/WRHARTICLES/osama_dead.php

ON MAY 1, 2011, JUST MOMENTS BEFORE PRESIDENT OBAMA ANNOUNCED THAT THE US HAD KILLED OSAMA BIN LADEN, THE WHATREALLYHAPPENED WEBSITE CAME UNDER MASSIVE DISTRIBUTED DENIAL OF SERVICE ATTACK. THIS PAGE, WHICH DOCUMENTS THAT OSAMA BIN LADEN ACTUALLY DIED IN DECEMBER OF 2001, APPEARS TO BE WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DIDN'T WANT AVAILABLE WHILE THE NEW PROPAGANDA WAS "CATAPULTED FORWARD". IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS IS THE OPENING GAMBIT IN A PLAN TO STAGE A "REVENGE" ATTACK FROM "AL QAEDA" ON THE UNITED STATES, WITH WHICH TO JUSTIFY TOTAL WAR ON THE MIDDLE EAST… [ See the National / World section, infra, for article text ]



Stock Market: 4 Current Warning Signs Navin ‘No one indicator by itself can be trusted. Many indicators taken as whole, however, can offer valuable guidance when a clear pattern develops. Right now, that guidance appears to warn about current conditions.

1) The 5-year high in the level of insider corporate stock sales is telling. At 565 sells for every 1 buy, it’s never been higher. Yes, it’s normal for insiders to be selling some of their stocks so they can buy new yachts and some of this is pre-planned. But that ratio — which has spiked recently — is extraordinarily high, one might even say off-the-chart.

2) Professor Shiller at Yale figures that the present price-to-earnings ratio for the Standard & Poor’s 500 is in the area of 26. The historical average is about 16. Although p/e’s can remain elevated for longer than you would imagine, reversion to the mean eventually takes place. Such a reversion would knock off almost 40% of current price. From today’s level, that would put the S&P 500 at about 800. Some shake their heads when I mention this, but it wasn’t too many months ago that we just broke above that.

3) The failure of the financial sector to keep up is a significant negative divergence for the entire market. Tom Aspray’s charts demonstrate the unfortunate price patterns of some big banks. I’ve mentioned this as well, previously. It’s hard to imagine how much further a rally can go without support from financials.

4) Key market leaders are rolling over in price. Take a look at Google (GOOG), one of the hottest stocks going in the recent rally. It appears to have peaked in January and is unable to set new highs even as the S&P continued upward. GOOG’s 50-day moving average has turned downward and has crossed below the 200-day moving average. This is a significant change of trend. ‘

AIG to sell Treasury shares The government soon will begin unloading its 92.1 percent ownership stake in the bailout company. (Washington Post) [ Who’s the unlucky sucker? Ultimately, a pension fund or two or three, etc., or maybe you or an equally unlucky member of your family. Stock market on a roll despite slowing economic growth, lingering unemployment[Also known as reality! Roll … yes, indeed … everyone’s to get rolled! ] (WP) Dow is up more than 10 percent for 2011, to its highest point in nearly three years. [ Same bubble scenario preceeding last crash (including currency manipulation); yet, far worse this time owing to insurmountable debt and defacto bankruptcy of the nation. Fed Chairman Bernanke does reality TV (WP) [ Except the ‘NO-RECESSION HELICOPTER BEN B.S. BERNANKE’ show is scripted unreality … even with his reduction in estimate for ‘economic growth’, the frauds on wall street still rallied. Bernanke prepares to make history (WP) [ He already has! $6 gas acomin’, $1,508+ gold, $46+ silver, other commodities at record levels, hyperinflation as predicted well on the way from over-printing of fiat paper currency by fed as predicted, etc., Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar 'Despite the terrible economic performance of the past ten years, equity valuations are the 2nd largest bubble in U.S. history... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued according to this valuation metric. The only time the markets have been more overvalued was a few brief months in 1929 and the tech bubble

... growth in earnings have been artificially manufactured...

· The change in accounting rules for the financial sector by FASB has generated massive “false” account profits beginning in 2009.

· The extended (and then further extended) unemployment benefits have kept an artificially higher demand for consumer consumption. As a result, the US government has artificially subsidized corporate profits.

· The billions saved through “free loading” by homeowners who have defaulted on their mortgages yet maintained their residence, thus living without a mortgage payment.

· The artificially suppressed interest rates...

Dave's Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money-- … an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! 24 Signs Of Economic Decline In America ‘The United States is in the middle of a devastating long-term economic decline’ ] States face shortfall for retirees ]

Top 3 Reasons Markets were Down on Greece Worries and Terrorism

Hedge Funds Chasing Bubbles vs. Fundamentals Goldman ‘Start with basics: the central banks can huff and puff all they want, but if credit doesn’t get out to private borrowers, the result is more deflationary than inflationary. Devaluing the dollar, to be sure, reprices tradeables on a one-shot basis, but that can only go on so long. When it looks like the dollar is getting about as cheap as it’s likely to, you get a pullback in the price of dollar hedges.

We are seeing a decline in government borrowing (due to the collapse of the muni market) and a decline in government spending in the US, and probably will get more as the Republicans force the issue on Obama. Housing prices remain in free fall.

One difference between this recovery and the last few recoveries is that the banks, rather than using their deep pockets to lead the way back into risk, have retreated from risk, under the regulatory whip. Bank prop trading desks used to be the bellwether of risk-taking. They don’t exist any more. Banks don’t care if their ROE is miserable as long as it’s stable. All of bank asset-liability management these days is directed to reducing volatility of earnings. In effect, the banks have been socialized and are acting like (still overpaid) public monopolies.

The orphaned prop traders have all gone to hedge funds, or to the beach. What are the hedge funds supposed to buy? There’s little issuance of private securities for them to play with. Gone are the days when mortgage-backed securities made fortunes for traders. That leaves the hedge funds to chase whatever trend appears underway–which is why commodity prices are nuttily volatile. You’re supposed to own commodity stocks that feed into Asian demand, which will continue to grow. China is doing just fine, as I argued on Larry Kudlow’s CNBC show Tuesday night. Don’t try to out-trade the hedge funds. They can’t out-trade each other.

Stocks will be choppy as the dollar effect wears off. If the dollar goes up a bit, stocks may give some ground. Below is a chart (click to enlarge) of the S&P vs. the trade-weighted dollar index during the past two years, which I’ve run before. Here it is again as a reminder.

S&P 500 vs Trade-Weighted Dollar, Past 2 Years of Daily Data

http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/5/13/saupload_spdollar1.jpg

No Coup, No Grace


The Week Ahead: Volatility Is Not Your Friend Aspray ‘The odds are against stocks making a sustained comeback in the short term. Unless you’re an intra-day trader, the best advice is to hold on for the ride and make sure protective stops are in place.

The rollercoaster ride continued last week in both the stock and commodity markets—if you’re keeping track, the S&P 500 was up three days and down two.

The commodity markets were also very choppy, and there are some worrisome signs in the energy patch. The Energy Select Spyder (XLE) and many of the biggest oil companies, including ExxonMobil (XOM), Chevron (CVZ) and Schlumberger (SLB) have completed top formations. (For full technical appraisal, please see Big Oil’s Big Top.)

It looks as though my view is at odds with the big hedge funds, as The Wall Street Journal reported on Friday that several of the largest hedge-fund managers were bullish on the energy sector.

With Friday’s sharply lower close, the stock market is in a precarious position for the short term, and the odds now favor further selling this week. This high volatility is not an investor or a swing trader’s friend, but those who trade intra-day may be having a good time.

The number of bulls according to the AAII sentiment numbers continues to decline, and is now at 30%, not far above last summer’s lows. For specific price levels to watch, see below.

The economic numbers met analysts’ expectations, but next week the economic calendar is much more crowded. On Tuesday, we’ll have the latest reading on housing starts, along with industrial production numbers for April. FOMC minutes will be released on Wednesday, while Thursday brings existing home sales and jobless claims.

The storm clouds seem to be again darkening in Europe, a year after the $158-billion bailout plan for Greece was announced. Now France and Germany are apparently lobbying for a debt extension, though the ECB is not convinced this is a good idea. The downgrade of Greece’s debt did not help the situation.

China’s consumer prices were a bit lower in April, after setting a record in March, while the trade surplus was much greater than expected. There were signs that the tightening was having some impact, as monthly iron ore imports dropped 11%. Even more dramatic was copper, as it dropped 14% from March, and is now down 40% from last year.

As I warned last week, many of the emerging markets had fallen back to support, and the violation of the recent lows makes a further decline likely. The stronger dollar is a negative for these markets.

WHAT TO WATCH
The sharp decline last Wednesday set the stage for heavier selling on Thursday and I suggested to “Fasten Your Seatbelts.” Thursday’s rebound was encouraging, but the bears again took over Friday, as early gains were met with heavy selling and the major averages closed lower.

The new highs by both the NYSE Composite and the S&P 500 A/D line in early May are positive for the intermediate-term trend. A break of the May 5 lows in the major averages, which now looks likely, will signal a decline to stronger support.

S&P 500
The Spyder Trust (SPY) hit Thursday’s high at $135.36 early Friday before turning lower. On a short-term basis, the key support is at $133.02. A break of this level will indicate a decline to the $131.70 to $132.40 range, if not the support from the April lows at $130.40 to $129.50 (line a).

The SPY has initial resistance at $135.36, but needs a daily close above $136.11 to signal a move to the $138.50 to $140 area.

The S&P 500’s A/D line made a new high on May 10 (line b), consistent with a positive intermediate trend. The weak A/D numbers Friday have taken the A/D line back to its uptrend (line c). Even slightly negative A/D numbers Monday will cause a break of this uptrend, with longer-term support at line d.

http://www.moneyshow.com/image.asp?imgSrc=Investing/Guru/guru051311_1_large.gif&aid=GURU-23095&scode=021551
Click to Enlarge

Dow Industrials
The chart of the Diamonds Trust (DIA) is very similar to that of the S&P 500. Key short-term support for DIA now sits at $125, not far above Friday’s close. A break of this level will signal a decline to between $122.60 and $123. The major supports are at $120.65 and the April low.

Initial resistance stands at $127.16, with further levels at last week’s high of $127.67.

Dow Transportations
The Dow Transportation Index led the charge into early May, but after a strong close last Tuesday reversed course to close near the lows. The previous lows at 5,368, from May 5, were exceeded by a few points Friday.

The 38.2% retracement support is at 5,313, with the 50% support at 5,235.

Nasdaq-100
The PowerShares QQQ Trust (QQQ) has stayed in a tight range since the early May highs at $59.34 (line e). QQQ was actually up last week, barely, so the tech sector could lead the market once the current correction is over.

There is initial support at $58.24 to $58.09. There is additional support at $57.70, with stronger at $56.50 to $57 and the uptrend (line f).

The Nasdaq-100 A/D line made convincing new highs in early May (line g), and is still well above its uptrend (line h). The March and April highs in the A/D line need to hold if the uptrend is broken.

Russell 2000
The iShares Russell 2000 Trust (IWM) continues to act weak as its A/D line failed to make new highs in early May. This divergence is a short-term negative.

There is first support at the commodity-crash lows of $82.40, with more important levels at $81.40 and the longer-term uptrend. A close above the recent highs at $85.54 would improve the short-term outlook.

Sector Focus

  • The bright spots continue to be the Consumer Staples Select Sector SPDR (XLP) and the Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) which made new rally highs last Friday, though they closed off the best levels. These are the two sectors I have been recommending for new purchases if you are underinvested in stocks. If you are tempted to buy, wait at least until mid-week.
  • The Financial Select Spyder (XLF) broke below the March and April lows on Friday, and continues to be the weakest sector. Many of the largest financial stocks look very weak technically.
  • The Material Select Spyder (XLB) has gotten hit hard over the past two weeks as it is down over 7% from the early May highs. It has already reached more important support in the $38.40 area and could be closer to bottoming.

Oil
The July crude-oil contract is trying to hold above the low of $95.18, which if broken could set the stage for a drop to the $90 to $92 area. The wide trading range I expected last week is still the most likely scenario, as last week’s rally failed just above $105.

http://www.moneyshow.com/investing/article/1/guru-23095/The-Week-Ahead:-Volatility-Is-Not-Your-Friend/?aid=guru-23095&iid=GURU&page=2&scode=021551#
Click to Enlarge

US Dollar
The US dollar was the big story last week as the dollar index and the PowerShares DB US Dollar UP ETF (UUP) rallied sharply on heavy volume.

The daily downtrend for UUP (line a) is at $22.38, with additional resistance in the $22.80 to $23.20 area. This level could limit the upside over the next few weeks.

There is initial support now at $21.40 to $21.20 and the rising 20-period EMA. The OBV has not yet broken its downtrend (line b), but the volume has been strong over the past two weeks.

Interest Rates
There were quite a few developments in the bond market, as the rush into bonds has been overwhelming. Here are a few highlights:

  • an explosion in dollar-denominated perpetual bond offerings in Asia
  • MIT floats a 100-year bond that is well oversubscribed
  • and emerging-market bond funds see net flows for the sixth straight week

In terms of the ten-year Treasury yield, those who were expecting higher rates and sold the ten-year short have been hurt over the past month, as yields have dropped from 3.62% to 3.13% this week.

This decline broke the uptrend (line c) and has taken yields close to its flat 200-day MA. The 50-day MA is still above the 200-day, which is positive, and the intermediate trend for yields still appears to be up.

Gold
The SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) hit a low Friday of $144.29, which was well above the prior week’s low of $142.55. GLD could be forming a short-term bottom.

There is initial resistance at $147.35 and a close above $148.50 should signal a test of the $150.50 level.

Silver
The iShares Silver Trust (SLV) broke convincingly through the previous lows at $33.58, and hit $31.97 before bouncing. It held above the 50% support level of $31.30.

Continued volatility is to be expected in silver, with the first resistance now at $36.50, and those who are short are likely using stops above $38.50.

The Week Ahead
Last week’s rally failure in the stock market likely means a deeper correction is underway. The S&P 500 needs two consecutively strong closes to turn the market’s momentum positive.

The breakdowns in the financial sector and toppy action in many of the big oil companies are likely to weigh down the major averages. The decline should set that stage for higher prices down the road.

As I have been recommending for several weeks, this is a good time to raise some cash—and be sure to have stops in place on your long positions.

Those not in the stock market could consider a dollar-cost averaging strategy, so that by later in the summer your desired allocation to the stock market is established. Any new buying of individual stocks or ETFs should wait until the market stabilizes and there is lower volatility.’

Stocks Drop, Finish Mixed for Week Midnight Trader Wrap-up

Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding Stocks slip after three-day rally (Washington Post) [ Top 3 Reasons Markets Tanked with Oil WSCS‘DJI -1.02% SP500 -1.11% Nasdaq -0.93% Gold -0.82% Oil -4.63% at $98.88. Gold sold off ..Silver lost over 8%.

1) Commodities and Oil got slaughtered. .. widening trade gap.

2) Insiders finally getting busted.. but what about what large banks, investment banks, and mortgage companies did to the US economy…these insider trading cases are basically sideshows…

Fed official calls for vigilance (WP) [ Who’s still buying their b***s***! Much higher prices / inflation’s already here. 24 Signs Of Economic Decline In America ‘The US is in the middle of a devastating long-term economic decline’ ] States face shortfall for retirees (WP) (The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed), and have used the mideast turmoil to obfuscate their failure. Dave's Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money-- … an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! America Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog / the grim economic reality [ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm ]. Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding / April Is a Good Time to Sell Adler Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar ... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued …only time the markets have been more overvalued .. 1929 & tech bubble. http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/4/12/saupload_cape_thumb1.png PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Bernanke prepares to make history (WP) [ He already has! $6 gas acomin’.. hyperinflation as predicted well on the way from over-printing of fiat paper currency by fed as predicted, etc., Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar 'Despite the terrible economic performance of the past ten years, equity valuations are the 2nd largest bubble in U.S. history... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued according to this valuation metric. The only time the markets have been more overvalued was a few brief months in 1929 and the tech bubble

... growth in earnings have been artificially manufactured...

· The change in accounting rules for the financial sector by FASB has generated massive “false” account profits beginning in 2009…’


Crowded, Confused Market Calls for Picking Stop Levels Seeking Alpha

Euro, Stock Selloff Gathers Steam at The Wall Street Journal


New Yorkers under 30 flee city because of high taxes and few jobs NY Daily News | Escape from New York is not just a movie — it’s also a state of mind.

IMF warns EU debt crisis may still spread to core Reuters | Europe’s debt crisis may yet spread to core euro zone countries and emerging Eastern Europe.

Treasury Auctions To Take US Over Debt Ceiling On Monday Dow Jones News | The Treasury Department auctioned $56 billion in new debt this week.

John Taylor: “The Nice Risk Rally Since The First Half Of 2009 Is Ending” And Will Be Replaced By A “Scary Descent” “This warning is worthy of a brass band and bright lights as the other side of this low volatility rally will most likely be a scary descent that will have a very negative impact on markets.”

Shanghai Silver Trading Volume Surges By 65% Last Month In the aftermath of the Shanghai exchange’s margin hike and trading band increase reported previously, a pair of articles from Bloomberg and the FT looks at the trading of silver in China, where the mostly retail-traded metal continues to be seen as an inflation hedge.

Central Banks Purchase 127 Tons Of Gold In Q1 Most have heard by now that Mexico disclosed that back in Q1 it bought 93.1 tonnes of gold, increasing its total gold holdings from 7.1 tons to a whopping 100.2 total tons, a stunning move which was disclosed to have been done “in line with prudent diversification principles of reserves management.”

U.S. middle class disappearing into abyss? As America’s joblessness and poverty remain at a peak, RT’s Anastasia Churkina delves deep into the sorrows of the country’s middle class to find out if its future is doomed.

National / World

Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government ...May 1, 2011 ... U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every 3 days ... http://whatreallyhappened.com/WRHARTICLES/osama_dead.php

ON MAY 1, 2011, JUST MOMENTS BEFORE PRESIDENT OBAMA ANNOUNCED THAT THE US HAD KILLED OSAMA BIN LADEN, THE WHATREALLYHAPPENED WEBSITE CAME UNDER MASSIVE DISTRIBUTED DENIAL OF SERVICE ATTACK. THIS PAGE, WHICH DOCUMENTS THAT OSAMA BIN LADEN ACTUALLY DIED IN DECEMBER OF 2001, APPEARS TO BE WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DIDN'T WANT AVAILABLE WHILE THE NEW PROPAGANDA WAS "CATAPULTED FORWARD". IT IS POSSIBLE THAT THIS IS THE OPENING GAMBIT IN A PLAN TO STAGE A "REVENGE" ATTACK FROM "AL QAEDA" ON THE UNITED STATES, WITH WHICH TO JUSTIFY TOTAL WAR ON THE MIDDLE EAST.

Bin Laden's voice was detected regularly until [14 December 2001] by intelligence operatives monitoring radio transmissions in Tora Bora, according to the Pentagon [details]. Since then, nothing has been heard from the al-Qa'eda leader and President Bush has hinted in private that bin Laden's silence could mean he has been killed. [Telegraph, 12/28/2001]

Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government

Osama bin Laden is dead. The news first came from sources in Afghanistan and Pakistan almost six months ago: the fugitive died in December [2001] and was buried in the mountains of southeast Afghanistan. Pakistan's president, Pervez Musharraf, echoed the information. The remnants of Osama's gang, however, have mostly stayed silent, either to keep Osama's ghost alive or because they have no means of communication.

With an ego the size of Mount Everest, Osama bin Laden would not have, could not have, remained silent for so long if he were still alive. He always liked to take credit even for things he had nothing to do with. Would he remain silent for nine months and not trumpet his own survival? [New York Times. July 11, 2002]

FOX News Report: Bin Laden Already Dead

Usama bin Laden has died a peaceful death due to an untreated lung complication, the Pakistan Observer reported, citing a Taliban leader who allegedly attended the funeral of the Al Qaeda leader.

[Fox News. December 26, 2001]

Bin Laden has often been reported to be in poor health. Some accounts claim that he is suffering from Hepatitis C, and can expect to live for only two more years. According to Le Figaro, last year [2000] he ordered a mobile dialysis machine to be delivered to his base at Kandahar in Afghanistan. [Guardian]

Peter Bergen: Bin Laden has aged 'enormously'

This is a man who was clearly not well. I mean, as you see from these pictures here, he's really, by December [2001] he's looking pretty terrible.

But by December, of course, that tape that was aired then, he's barely moving the left side of his body. So he's clearly got diabetes. He has low blood pressure. He's got a wound in his foot. He's apparently got dialysis ... for kidney problems. [CNN]

The [December 27, 2001 video] was dismissed by the Bush administration ... as sick propaganda possibly designed to mask the fact the al-Qa'eda leader was already dead. "He could have made the video and then ordered that it be released in the event of his death," said one White House aide. [Telegraph]

Pakistan's Musharraf: Bin Laden probably dead

Pakistan's president says he thinks Osama bin Laden is most likely dead because the suspected terrorist has been unable to get treatment for his kidney disease.

[A Bush administration official] said U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every three days and "it is fairly obvious that that could be an issue when you are running from place to place, and facing the idea of needing to generate electricity in a mountain hideout." [CNN]

Renal dialysis -- talking about hemodialysis -- is something that really is reserved for patients in end-stage renal failure. That means their kidneys have just completely shut down. The most common cause of something like that would be something like diabetes and hypertension. Once that's happened, if you're separated from your dialysis machine -- and incidentally, dialysis machines require electricity, they're going to require clean water, they're going to require a sterile setting -- infection is a huge risk with that. If you don't have all those things and a functioning dialysis machine, it's unlikely that you'd survive beyond several days or a week at the most. [CNN]

Karzai: bin Laden 'probably' dead

Osama bin Laden is "probably" dead, but former Taliban leader Mullah Omar is alive, Afghan President Hamid Karzai has said. [CNN]

FBI: Bin Laden 'probably' dead

The US Federal Bureau of Investigation's counter-terrorism chief, Dale Watson, says he thinks Osama bin Laden is "probably" dead. [BBC]

Magazine runs what it calls bin Laden's will

The editor-in-chief of a London-based Arab news magazine said a purported will it published Saturday was written late last year [2001] by Osama bin Laden, and shows "he's dying or he's going to die soon." [CNN]

Usama bin Laden has died a peaceful death due to an untreated lung complication, the Pakistan Observer reported, citing a Taliban leader who allegedly attended the funeral of the Al Qaeda leader. "The Coalition troops are engaged in a mad search operation but they would never be able to fulfill their cherished goal of getting Usama alive or dead," the source said. [FOX News]

Translation of Funeral Article in Egyptian Paper:
al-Wafd, Wednesday, December 26, 2001 Vol 15 No 4633

News of Bin Laden's Death and Funeral 10 days ago

A prominent official in the Afghan Taleban movement announced yesterday the death of Osama bin Laden, the chief of al-Qa'da organization, stating that binLaden suffered serious complications in the lungs and died a natural and quiet death. [Welfare State]

Osama bin who?

Israel does not view bin Laden as a threat. [Janes]

Israeli intelligence: Bin Laden is dead, heir has been chosen

Israeli sources said Israel and the United States assess that Bin Laden probably died in the U.S. military campaign in Afghanistan in December. They said the emergence of new messages by Bin Laden are probably fabrications, Middle East Newsline reported. [World Tribune]

[See also The Fake bin Laden Audio Tape]

[See also Benazir Bhutto says Osama is dead.]’

Taliban Attacks Dim U.S. Hopes Bin Laden’s Killing May Hasten Afghan Exit Bloomberg | Bin Laden’s “martyrdom” will give a “new impetus” to the Taliban’s fight. Top Doctor Confirms Bin Laden Had Marfan Syndrome An MSNBC hit piece that attempts to debunk Dr. Steve R. Pieczenik’s assertion that Osama Bin Laden died from Marfan syndrome in 2001 unwittingly provides corroboration from a top Cornell doctor who first made similar statements in an interview with Salon magazine two months after 9/11. Evidence: Bin Laden worked like a crime boss (Washington Post) [ Come on! This is all such total b***s*** at this point at least if not sooner. How totally preposterous! Now we can add that word picture … Vito Corleone of ‘Godfather’ fame’s opening words, ‘I love america’ … What in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america isn’t operated as a crime syndicate led by a crime boss? Who shot bin Laden? Former SEALs fill in the blanks (WP) [ Well, here I am on the same page as a former navy seal: Jesse Ventura Questions Obama’s Narrative Of Bin Laden Raid Former Navy SEAL and Governor of Minnesota Jesse Ventura has questioned Barack Obama’s official narrative regarding the raid on Osama Bin Laden, telling the Alex Jones Show of his suspicions that Osama died years ago, and expressing disbelief that the man seen flicking between TV channels in the video released by the White House Saturday was actually Bin Laden. [Who is foolish enough to believe anything they say; particularly their scripted, ever-changing, evolving, self-serving accounts belied only by truth / reality as told by those with true courage and integrity; as, for example Jessica Lynch, etc. White House Press Secretary “Floundering Under Pressure” Of Flip-Flopping Bin Laden Fable Staged: White House “Situation Room” Photos Part Of Bin Laden Fable .. No resistance in “cold-blooded” U.S. raid: Pakistan officials The Cost of Bin Laden: $3 Trillion Over 15 Years Bin Had The Growing Coverup: Osama and “The Big Lie” The Obama administration and the corporate media are concocting an ever-more elaborate and spectacular theater around the “heroic” murder of the CIA intelligence myth/CIA asset Osama bin Laden. Red Alert: Government Had Osama bin Laden Frozen for Years Nimmo / Jones | Videos [ I personally believe Osama’s been dead for quite some time. Indeed, for one on dialysis, he otherwise would have been nothing less than a modern day miracle in terms of longevity / mortality rates for those so afflicted, particularly under the ‘stressful’ circumstances involving evading capture, betrayal for money, etc.. His ‘surfacing’ for a ‘talk’ wouldn’t even pass muster in the most rudimentary requirements for ‘proof of life’. The release at this time of the ‘announcement’ is, rather than a victory lap so to speak, but rather a sign of weakness and desperation on the part of america whose global and domestic economic, financial, and geopolitical position is substantially diminished and declining rapidly and whose military industrial complex welfare plan along with the Orwellian diversion of the masses could at best yield but a pyrrhic victory. Moreover, the same comes at a time of systemic failure for pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america. While the ‘announcement’ plays well for the nonce, to the dumb, uninformed back home, the same will galvanize resistance in the name of their now martyr, Osama Bin Laden.] [ Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government ...May 1, 2011 ... He's apparently got dialysis ... for kidney problems. ... official] said U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every three days ...
http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/WRHARTICLES/osama_dead.php

Osama bin Laden is dead. The news first came from sources in Afghanistan and Pakistan almost six months ago: the fugitive died in December [2001] and was buried in the mountains of southeast Afghanistan. Pakistan's president, Pervez Musharraf, echoed the information. The remnants of Osama's gang, however, have mostly stayed silent, either to keep Osama's ghost alive or because they have no means of communication. Bin Laden's voice was detected regularly until [14 December 2001] by intelligence operatives monitoring radio transmissions in Tora Bora, according to the Pentagon [details]. Since then, nothing has been heard from the al-Qa'eda leader and President Bush has hinted in private that bin Laden's silence could mean he has been killed. [Telegraph, 12/28/2001]

Pakistan's Musharraf: Bin Laden probably dead

Pakistan's president says he thinks Osama bin Laden is most likely dead because the suspected terrorist has been unable to get treatment for his kidney disease. [A Bush administration official] said U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every three days and "it is fairly obvious that that could be an issue when you are running from place to place, and facing the idea of needing to generate electricity in a mountain hideout." [CNN]

Karzai: bin Laden 'probably' dead

Osama bin Laden is "probably" dead, but former Taliban leader Mullah Omar is alive, Afghan President Hamid Karzai has said. [CNN]

FBI: Bin Laden 'probably' dead

The US Federal Bureau of Investigation's counter-terrorism chief, Dale Watson, says he thinks Osama bin Laden is "probably" dead. [BBC]

Magazine runs what it calls bin Laden's will

The editor-in-chief of a London-based Arab news magazine said a purported will it published Saturday was written late last year [2001] by Osama bin Laden, and shows "he's dying or he's going to die soon." [CNN]

Usama bin Laden has died a peaceful death due to an untreated lung complication, the Pakistan Observer reported, citing a Taliban leader who allegedly attended the funeral of the Al Qaeda leader. "The Coalition troops are engaged in a mad search operation but they would never be able to fulfill their cherished goal of getting Usama alive or dead," the source said. [FOX News] Renal dialysis -- talking about hemodialysis -- is something that really is reserved for patients in end-stage renal failure. That means their kidneys have just completely shut down. The most common cause of something like that would be something like diabetes and hypertension. Once that's happened, if you're separated from your dialysis machine -- and incidentally, dialysis machines require electricity, they're going to require clean water, they're going to require a sterile setting -- infection is a huge risk with that. If you don't have all those things and a functioning dialysis machine, it's unlikely that you'd survive beyond several days or a week at the most. [CNN] NATO and Afghan raid mistakenly kills young girl, policeman in east Afghanistan http://www.washingtonpost.com/world/nato-and-afghan-raid-mistakenly-kills-young-girl-policeman-in-east-afghanistan/2011/05/12/AF3nKYwG_story.html (Washington Post) [ Yeah! There you go … that new strategy / plan already paying dividends and winning hearts and minds … A push for new Afghan strategy (WP) [ Riiiiight! That umpteenth new strategy / progress thing … pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america can really afford it … Clinton predicts violent spring in Afghanistan (WP) Secretary Clinton on Thursday warned NATO allies not to abandon Afghanistan and predicted a violent spring. [ Well, there you go … something to look forward to … sounds like a plan … you know, that progress thing so touted by gates / petraeus … remind us that these people, particularly innocent civilians, died for no good reason at all. .. america's defacto bankruptcy. 'Alas, poor america … a nation of infinite jest, and unexcellent fancy … and pervasive criminality' …IED casualties in Afghanistan spike (WP) [ Yeah! That progress thing’s a b**ch! What do you expect them to say? That the money spent / diverted to these lucrative for the few war profiteers (360 tons of $100 bills flown into Iraq disappear, etc.) has been worth the defacto bankruptcy of the nation. Drudgereport: Congresswoman calls Afghanistan 'national embarrassment'... 'Epic failure'... Woolsey (D-CA) says Afghanistan war a disaster. "This war represents an epic failure, a national embarrassment and a moral blight," Rep. Woolsey said. [Though broke, they’re still voting for more war across the board.. this war is a blowback-creating, self-perpetuating, self-destructive, self-defeating, colossally expensive debacle benefiting war profiteers / lobbies and frauds while diverting attention from the more ’mundane’ tasks of governance. War on Terror is a Reichstag Fire False Flag Operation Sartre | If you really want justice for the 911 murders, you must face reality and look within your own government for the true terrorists.

Why Does the Terrorist Kingpin Look Better Than He Did in 2001? Washington’s Blog

Bin Laden Hoax….The Rest Of The Story Cartalucci .. examination of mainstream media’s headlines and interviews with the CIA director himself calls into question the official narrative.

Hoax: White House Claims 4-Year-Old Bin Laden Video Is New Footage

Then, of course, there’s also: that ‘pearl harbor event’ so sought by the neo-cons / war mongers still defies explanation (ie., the ‘stand-down order’, symmetrical implosions, foreknowledge by some {who conveniently ‘missed the party’ that day}, etc.. Some links, echoing the unbelief akin to the ‘Jessica Lynch’, Tillman, etc., affairs follow. People must realize that though having but 5% of the world’s population, america can boast 76% of the world’s serial killers, and the highest crime rates in the world by far. ]

Ludicrous Bin Laden “Porno” Claim Harks Back To CIA Fakery Paul Joseph Watson | Spooks admitted creating hoax videotapes of Osama talking about having sex with boys.

We Are Change Confront Bankster Ben Bernanke Infowars.com | Federal Reserve boss Bernanke was not amused.

Globalists begin breakup of The United States TheAlexJonesChannel | Alex exposes how the Baja Arizona movement to split into a 51st state would balkanize the region for easy control.

Ron Paul Announces Presidential Run Jay Root | Paul made his announcement in an interview on ABC’s “Good Morning America” from New Hampshire.

Government Claims Osama Wanted to Kill Obama Kurt Nimmo | More propaganda designed to distract from the fact the government’s story is falling apart.

Ludicrous Bin Laden “Porno” Claim Harks Back To CIA Fakery The US government must be quite disappointed with the fact that Islamic extremists have yet to attack the United States in “retaliation” for allegedly killing Bin Laden, because they seem to be doing everything in their power to rile up terrorists – this time with the claim that a significant stash of pornography was found in Bin Laden’s compound.

Teacher Told 11-Year-Old Drawing Of American Flag Would “Offend” Other Students The family of Frankie Girard is claiming that their son’s civil rights were violated after a teacher allegedly told him that hanging his picture of the American flag would offend another student.

Gaddafi most likely wounded, left Tripoli: Italy Libyan leader Muammar Gaddafi has very likely left the capital Tripoli and has most likely been wounded, Italian Foreign Minister Franco Frattini said Friday.

New Film Shows Diana “Very Much Alive” After Car Crash “It is included as evidence, because it shows clearly that, although Diana had been injured in the crash, she was alert and very much alive. I repeat: it is not a picture of a dying woman.”

‘Libyans die as Obama mocks laws, makes pals with rebels’ NATO maintains it’s not trying to kill Gaddafi – something the Libyan rebels are calling for. A top rebel official is in Washington for talks with the U.S. administration on more support, and possible recognition. British anti-war activist Kate Hudson thinks the coalition’s policy is making a mockery of international law.

Texas House Bans TSA Grope Downs The Texas House passed a bill late Thursday night that would make it a criminal offense for public servants to inappropriately touch travelers during airport security pat-downs.

Government Claims Osama Wanted to Kill Obama According to ABC News, the U.S. discovered a plot to kill Obama in the million or so pages supposedly taken from Osama’s mansion in Pakistan.

Libyan Group Associated with al-Qaeda Meets Obama Officials The head of the National Transitional Council’s executive bureau, Mahmoud Jebril, met with Tom Donilon, Obama’s national security adviser, and other senior officials, the White House said in a statement, Reuters reports today.

Japan to Cover Damaged Nuclear Reactors with Giant Tents Giant polyester covers will soon be placed around the damaged reactor buildings at Japan’s Fukushima nuclear complex to help contain the release of radioactive substances into the atmosphere, the plant operator said Friday.

Narrative Behind Bin Laden Fable Flip-Flops AGAIN You have to wonder what on earth the Obama administration hopes to achieve by continually insulting the intelligence of the American people, after the official narrative behind the alleged Bin Laden raid was changed yet again, presumably in a desperate effort to counter the revelation that the White House “situation room” photos were staged.

Yes, They Lied; Yes, a Million Died; and Yes, They Want It To Go On That’s why the Peace Laureate/Holy Hit Man in the White House has his Pentagon warlord pushing and pushing to keep American troops in Iraq — forever, if possible.

The Death Of Bin Laden; The Death Of America The thing that benefits the most from this raid is America’s emerging police state, which is now strategically positioned to take another giant leap forward.

Jury convicts Ohio mom in baby's microwave death (AP) - AP - Jurors in an Ohio woman's third trial found her guilty Friday of killing her baby daughter by cooking her in a microwave oven. [ True americana! People must realize that though having but 5% of the world’s population, america can boast 76% of the world’s serial killers and the highest crime rates in the world by far. [ america’s #1, england’s #2 Cannes: Diana doc slams UK royals as 'gangsters'... ] http://www.albertpeia.com/realifeamericaserialkillers.mpg SEC urged to ease fundraising rules (Washington Post) [ REDUNDANT! I mean come on! Any more ‘easing’ and we’d be in negative territory where they actually reward you for breaking the rules which is currently the reality in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, meaningfully lawless america. Roche 'The worst part of it ...Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place’ ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ). UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE... In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ' Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud WP | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on military spending than all the nations of the world combined... federal employees / contractors, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality ( http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm ). That perverse field of dreams I’ve previously alluded to, the american nightmare, if you build / contrive war, they will come. And, they do; seals of them (among others); and when their ‘tours’ are done, it’s murder inc./contract killing for hire that they’ve won (cia, mob, etc.). The 20th century, the ‘bloodiest century’, not coincidentally referred to as the american century, brings longings of nostalgia to american criminals who, like Pavlov’s dogs salivate at the prospect of killing, raping, pillaging, and plundering which primitive mindset they have mistakenly been conditioned to connect to their now irretrievably lost success as a nation state; and to the contrary, has become globally and domestically self-destructive / self-defeating. The entire 911 / Bin Laden scenario just doesn’t pass the smell test and reeks of political desperation and Orwellian opportunism.

Preet Bharara, ‘sheriff of Wall Street’ The U.S. attorney in Manhattan has ramped up white collar enforcement in his 21-month-old tenure. (Washington Post) [ I still say: ‘Where’s the beef … you know, the big boys, ie., goldman et als … Raj Rajaratnam Found Guilty On All Counts [ I share the following sentiments from Wall St Cheat Sheet: ‘…2) Insiders are finally getting busted. Although the media loves the Raj Rajaratnam trial and his guilty on all 14 counts, who really gives a s*** compared with what large banks, investment banks, and mortgage companies did to the US economy. So long as the Dick Fulds of the world are sipping champagne in Capri, Italy, these insider trading cases are basically sideshows…’ ] SEC urged to ease fundraising rules (Washington Post) [ REDUNDANT! I mean come on! Any more ‘easing’ and we’d be in negative territory where they actually reward you for breaking the rules which is currently the reality in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, meaningfully lawless america. Roche 'The worst part of it ...Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place’ ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ). UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE... In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ' Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud WP | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

People must realize that though having but 5% of the world’s population, america can boast 76% of the world’s serial killers and the highest crime rates in the world by far. http://www.albertpeia.com/realifeamericaserialkillers.mpg . Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on military spending than all the nations of the world combined... federal employees / contractors, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality ( http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm ).

U.S. to raise fuel efficiency standards Over the next few months, regulators are scheduled to set the next round of fuel standards for automakers. Among the proposals under consideration is one that would lift average fuel economy under the law to as much as 62 mpg by 2025. (Washington Post) [ Well, there you go … problem solved … and the auto cos can really afford the retooling costs … I can’t remember how many times I heard reference to such legislative mandates … have they been in effect … have they changed … have they worked? Look at How Producer Prices Continue Getting More Expensive Wall St. Cheat Sheet [This spells big trouble affecting corporate earnings (some costs can’t be passed on without decreasing sales) and disposable income / consumer spending. ] Weekly Unemployment Claims Still Above This Scary Level WSCS Short ‘The Department of Labor’s Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report was released this morning for last week. Claims fell 44,000 from a 4,000 upward revision of the previous week, which takes the number back to approximately the level prior to last week’s blip. Here is the official statement from the Department of Labor:In the week ending May 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 434,000, a decrease of 44,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 478,000. The 4-week moving average was 436,750, an increase of 4,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 432,250. The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 3.0 percent for the week ending April 30, unchanged from the prior week’s unrevised rate of 3.0 percent. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending April 30 was 3,756,000, an increase of 5,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,751,000. The 4-week moving average was 3,718,500, an increase of 13,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,705,250.Today’s number was 11,000 above the Briefing.com consensus estimate of 423,000 claims.As we can see, there’s a good bit of volatility in this indicator, which is why the 4-week moving average (shown in the callouts) is a more useful number than the weekly data.

http://dshort.com/charts/weekly-unemployment-claims-charts.html?weekly-unemployment-claims

Occasionally I see articles critical of seasonal adjustment, especially when the non-adjusted number better suits the author’s bias. But a comparison of these two charts clearly shows extreme volatility of the non-adjusted data, and the 4-week MA gives an indication of the recurring pattern of seasonal change in the second chart (note, for example, those regular January spikes).

http://dshort.com/charts/weekly-unemployment-claims-charts.html?weekly-unemployment-claims-NSA

a 52-week moving average gives a better sense of the long-term trends.

http://dshort.com/charts/weekly-unemployment-claims-charts.html?weekly-unemployment-claims-NSA-52-ma


Krauthammer: Obama's demagoguery in El Paso (Washington Post) [ What else can you expect from a demagogue … suddenly he’s talkin’ immigration with the election ‘round the corner, as he courts the Hispanic vote. Aren’t people on to this unctuous jive-talker yet, failed president that he is. Davis ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ Suckers’ rally to keep suckers suckered: Philadelphia Fed Depresses Economists Durden ‘..the Philadelphia Fed collapsed from a revised 43.4 (a 27 year high) to 18.5, the lowest since November 2010… This is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! U.S. Economy Remains on Life Support Hansen ‘

CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims’ Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv ]

Meanwhile, things are not looking up for the economy, global / domestic, and the solvency issues of nations, particularly defacto bankrupt america. Mohamed A. El-Erian [ In an interview with Frank Motek, El-Erian states that the nations are facing not debt issues per se, but solvency issues (ie., america’s defacto bankrupt, etc.) and (PIMCO dumped their u.s. treasury holdings) that it will take higher interest rates to sell those debt securities. Moreover, he stated that the subject nations have only exacerbated their fiscal problems by piling more debt on debt … the following is an excerpt from El-Erian in part, from the PIMCO website: …http://www.pimco.com ]

Milbank: The medical mystery of Mitt Romney (Washington Post) [ Does anyone else think Mr. Milbank’s reference to the Chinese twin girls born with a single body and two heads was at the least in poor taste. Moreover, I would further say his reference is probably better suited as applicable to ‘wobama the b’ (for b***s***) whose actions in office have belied most every campaign pledge and rhetoric. This is not to say that Romney gets a pass; though I did previously say and still on my website is (what I write thereon is ‘forever’ as if engraved on stone) that I recommended that war criminal, coward, incompetent cheney be replaced by Romney, and then the same, whether by impeachment or ‘encouragement’ (kind of like that Nixon / Ford dynamic), for war criminal, coward, incompetent moron dumbya bush. I doubt there’s anyone other than mental cases (ie., limbaugh, hannity, o’reilly, etc.) who could seriously argue that the country wouldn’t have been better off to this day. That said, 2012 is a whole new year, and a whole new ‘ballgame’, and wide open, so to speak. Ultimately, for me, the next president will have met criterion that for me is measurable in terms of justice, in accordance with long lost (for pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america) constitutional principles. For me, it’s what I can see, touch, and measure as being right. As such, for me, the clear resolution of long standing, justice delayed, justice denied RICO litigation is that measure and criterion. . Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on military spending than all the nations of the world combined... federal employees / contractors, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality ( http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm ). That perverse field of dreams I’ve previously alluded to, the american nightmare, if you build / contrive war, they will come. And, they do; seals of them (among others); and when their ‘tours’ are done, it’s murder inc./contract killing for hire that they’ve won (cia, mob, etc.). The 20th century, the ‘bloodiest century’, not coincidentally referred to as the american century, brings longings of nostalgia to american criminals who, like Pavlov’s dogs salivate at the prospect of killing, raping, pillaging, and plundering which primitive mindset they have mistakenly been conditioned to connect to their now irretrievably lost success as a nation state; and to the contrary, has become globally and domestically self-destructive / self-defeating. The entire 911 / Bin Laden scenario just doesn’t pass the smell test and reeks of political desperation and Orwellian opportunism.

Reversals challenge hope of Arab Spring (Washington Post) [The power of the autocrats … as in Saudi Arabia? Oh they’re okay … they’re good bad guys … war criminal american buds. Riiiiight! Just remember … the Arabs won’t forget. And, who will they blame, as if culpability of u.s., nato, israel, england, etc.. . [Who is foolish enough to believe anything they say; particularly their scripted, ever-changing, evolving, self-serving accounts belied only by truth / reality as told by those with true courage and integrity; as, for example Jessica Lynch, etc Red Alert: Government Had Osama bin Laden Frozen for Years Nimmo / Jones [ I personally believe Osama’s been dead for quite some time. Indeed, for one on dialysis, he otherwise would have been nothing less than a modern day miracle in terms of longevity / mortality rates for those so afflicted, particularly under the ‘stressful’ circumstances involving evading capture, betrayal for money, etc.. His ‘surfacing’ for a ‘talk’ wouldn’t even pass muster in the most rudimentary requirements for ‘proof of life’. The release at this time of the ‘announcement’ is, rather than a victory lap so to speak, but rather a sign of weakness and desperation on the part of america whose global and domestic economic, financial, and geopolitical position is substantially diminished and declining rapidly and whose military industrial complex welfare plan along with the Orwellian diversion of the masses could at best yield but a pyrrhic victory. Moreover, the same comes at a time of systemic failure for pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america. While the ‘announcement’ plays well to the dumb back home, the same will galvanize resistance in the name of their now martyr, Osama Bin Laden.] [ Osama bin Laden: A dead nemesis perpetuated by the US government ...May 1, 2011 ... U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every 3 days ...
http://www.whatreallyhappened.com/WRHARTICLES/osama_dead.php

Osama bin Laden is dead..: died in December [2001] ..buried in the mountains of southeast Afghanistan [Telegraph, 12/28/2001]

Musharraf: Bin Laden probably dead

[A Bush administration official] said U.S. intelligence is that bin Laden needs dialysis every three days ..." [CNN]

Karzai: bin Laden 'probably' dead .. but former Taliban leader Mullah Omar is alive [CNN]

FBI: Bin Laden 'probably' dead

The FBI’s counter-terrorism chief, Dale Watson, says he thinks Osama bin Laden is "probably" dead. [BBC]

The editor-in-chief of a London-based Arab news magazine said a purported will it published Saturday was written late last year [2001] by Osama bin Laden, and shows "he's dying or he's going to die soon." [CNN]

Usama bin Laden has died a peaceful death due to an untreated lung complication .. [FOX News] Renal dialysis is reserved for patients in end-stage renal failure. .. it's unlikely that you'd survive beyond several days or a week at the most. [CNN] ]

Weekly Unemployment Claims Still Above This Scary Level WSCS Short ‘The Department of Labor’s Unemployment Insurance Weekly Claims Report was released this morning for last week. Claims fell 44,000 from a 4,000 upward revision of the previous week, which takes the number back to approximately the level prior to last week’s blip. Here is the official statement from the Department of Labor:In the week ending May 7, the advance figure for seasonally adjusted initial claims was 434,000, a decrease of 44,000 from the previous week’s revised figure of 478,000. The 4-week moving average was 436,750, an increase of 4,500 from the previous week’s revised average of 432,250. The advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate was 3.0 percent for the week ending April 30, unchanged from the prior week’s unrevised rate of 3.0 percent. The advance number for seasonally adjusted insured unemployment during the week ending April 30 was 3,756,000, an increase of 5,000 from the preceding week’s revised level of 3,751,000. The 4-week moving average was 3,718,500, an increase of 13,250 from the preceding week’s revised average of 3,705,250.Today’s number was 11,000 above the Briefing.com consensus estimate of 423,000 claims.As we can see, there’s a good bit of volatility in this indicator, which is why the 4-week moving average (shown in the callouts) is a more useful number than the weekly data.

http://dshort.com/charts/weekly-unemployment-claims-charts.html?weekly-unemployment-claims

Occasionally I see articles critical of seasonal adjustment, especially when the non-adjusted number better suits the author’s bias. But a comparison of these two charts clearly shows extreme volatility of the non-adjusted data, and the 4-week MA gives an indication of the recurring pattern of seasonal change in the second chart (note, for example, those regular January spikes).

http://dshort.com/charts/weekly-unemployment-claims-charts.html?weekly-unemployment-claims-NSA

Because of the extreme volatility of the non-adjusted weekly data, a 52-week moving average gives a better sense of the long-term trends.

http://dshort.com/charts/weekly-unemployment-claims-charts.html?weekly-unemployment-claims-NSA-52-ma

The Bureau of Labor Statistics provides an overview on seasonal adjustment here (scroll down about half way down).

Doug Short Ph.d is the author of dshort.com.’



Look at How Producer Prices Continue Getting More Expensive Wall St. Cheat Sheet [This spells big trouble affecting corporate earnings (some costs can’t be passed on without decreasing sales) and disposable income / consumer spending. ] ‘The Producer Price Index for finished goods rose 0.8 percent in April, seasonally adjusted, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. This advance followed increases of 0.7 percent in March and 1.6 percent in February.

At the earlier stages of processing, prices received by manufacturers of intermediate goods climbed 1.3 percent in April, and the crude goods index rose 4.0 percent. On an unadjusted basis, prices for finished goods moved up 6.8 percent for the 12 months ended April 2011, the largest year-over-year gain since an 8.8-percent increase in September 2008.

Stage-of-Processing Analysis

About three quarters of the April advance in the finished goods index can be traced to a 2.5 percent jump in prices for finished energy goods. Also contributing to the rise in the finished goods index, prices for both finished goods other than foods (NYSE:RJA) and energy (NYSE:XLE) and for finished consumer foods moved up 0.3 percent in April.

Finished energy: Prices for finished energy goods increased 2.5 percent in April, the seventh consecutive monthly advance. Over half of the April rise can be attributed to the gasoline index, which climbed 3.6 percent (NYSE:USO). Higher prices for liquefied petroleum gas and residential natural gas (NYSE:UNG) also were factors in the increase in the finished energy goods index. (See table 2.)

Finished core: The index for finished goods less foods and energy moved up 0.3 percent in April, the fifth straight monthly rise. Nearly one-fourth of the April monthly advance can be traced to a 1.2-percent jump in civilian aircraft prices. An increase in the index for light motor trucks also contributed significantly to the rise in finished core prices.

Finished foods: Prices for finished consumer foods rose 0.3 percent in April after falling 0.2 percent in the prior month. Leading this advance, the index for eggs for fresh use surged 56.7 percent.

Intermediate goods

The Producer Price Index for intermediate materials (NYSE:XLB), supplies, and components rose 1.3 percent in April, the ninth consecutive monthly advance. The broad-based April increase was led by prices for intermediate goods less foods and energy, which moved up 1.1 percent. The indexes for intermediate energy goods and for intermediate foods and feeds also contributed to the intermediate goods advance, rising 1.9 percent and 1.8 percent, respectively. For the 12 months ended April 2011, prices for intermediate goods climbed 9.4 percent, the largest increase since a 9.8-percent jump in October 2008. (See table B.)

Intermediate core: Prices for intermediate goods less foods and energy moved up 1.1 percent in April, the ninth consecutive monthly rise. About fifteen percent of the April gain can be attributed to the index for primary basic organic chemicals, which increased 3.2 percent. Higher prices for ethanol and steel mill products (NYSE:DBB) also contributed to the advance in intermediate core prices. (See table 2.)

Intermediate energy: The index for intermediate energy goods climbed 1.9 percent in April, the smallest advance since a 1.5-percent increase in November 2010. Prices for diesel fuel, which moved up 3.5 percent, were a significant contributor to the April rise. Higher prices for gasoline also were a factor in the increase in the intermediate energy goods index.

Intermediate foods: The intermediate foods and feeds index advanced 1.8 percent in April, the
ninth straight monthly increase. A 5.6-percent jump in prices for beef and veal accounted for a quarter of the April advance in the intermediate foods and feeds index.

Crude goods

The Producer Price Index for crude materials for further processing increased 4.0 percent in April. For the 3 months ending in April, prices for crude materials moved up 7.0 percent following an 11.4-percent jump for the 3 months ending in January. Leading the broad-based monthly advance in April, the index for crude energy materials rose 4.8 percent. Prices for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs and for crude nonfood materials less energy increased 4.0 percent and 2.6 percent, respectively.

Crude energy: The index for crude energy (NYSE:XLE) materials moved up 4.8 percent in April. From January to April, crude energy prices advanced 5.3 percent compared with a 17.9-percent jump in the previous 3-month period. For the month of April, the index for natural gas rose 9.4 percent, accounting for over half of the increase in prices for crude energy materials. Advances in the indexes for crude petroleum and coal also contributed to higher crude energy prices.

Crude foods: Prices for crude foodstuffs and feedstuffs (NYSE:RJA) advanced 4.0 percent in April. For the
3 months ending in April, the index for crude foods jumped 11.4 percent subsequent to moving up 5.5 percent from October to January. Accounting for about half of the monthly rise in April, the grains index increased 15.5 percent. Higher prices for slaughter steers and heifers also were a factor in the advance in the crude foods index.

Crude core: The index for crude nonfood materials less energy rose 2.6 percent in April. From January to April, crude core prices moved up 2.5 percent after a 10.1-percent advance in the previous 3-month period. For the month of April, a 4.5-percent increase in the index for copper base scrap was a factor in higher crude core prices.

Services Analysis Trade Industries

TTrade industries: The Producer Price Index for the net output of total trade industries moved up 0.1 percent in April, the third consecutive increase. Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers (NYSE:RTH). Leading the April advance was a 5.3-percent increase in margins received by department stores (NYSE:IYR). Higher margins received by women’s clothing stores and by electronic shopping and mail order houses also contributed significantly to the rise in the total trade industries index.

Transportation and warehousing industries: The Producer Price Index for the net output of transportation and warehousing industries rose 0.3 percent in April, the seventh consecutive increase. Accounting for forty-five percent of the April advance, prices received by couriers climbed 1.4 percent. Increases in the indexes for long distance general freight trucking (truckload) and line-haul railroads also were factors in the April rise in the transportation and warehousing industries index.

Traditional service industries: The Producer Price Index for the net output of total traditional service industries moved up 0.7 percent in April after no change in the previous month. Leading this advance, prices received by the depository credit intermediation industry group rose 7.3 percent. Higher prices received by insurance carriers and by general medical and surgical hospitals (NYSE:XLV) also contributed to the increase in the total traditional service industries index.’

“Made in America”: The Comeback [ Come on! Let’s get real! Not in a million years … though citing the increased exports, what’s absent from this article is that we saw an INCREASE in the trade deficit (hence, I haven’t included this ‘feel good’ fluff piece). Some ‘pay to play’ and other manipulations, but this structural shift is forever and a done deal; however foolish and misguided by pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt america, they can’t unring the bell on yet another policy / strategic blunder at all levels of the u.s. government, and that short –sighted corporate american hierarchy. [video]GDP Fears Going Up - Trader NEW YORK (TheStreet) - - Trade deficit data is causing concerns over a lowered GDP says Alan Valdes of DME Securities. ]

Mohamed A. El-Erian [ In an interview with Motek, El-Erian states that the nations are facing not debt issues per se, but solvency issues (ie., america’s defacto bankrupt, etc.) and (PIMCO dumped their u.s. treasury holdings) that it will take higher interest rates to sell those debt securities. Moreover, he stated that the subject nations have only exacerbated their fiscal problems by piling more debt on debt … the following is an excerpt from El-Erian in part, from the PIMCO website: http://www.pimco.com] ‘ … BALANCE OF RISKS Most baselines are subject to two-sided risks. Our Secular Outlook is no different in this regard and, in this case, the risks are well balanced.

On the one hand, the baseline could prove to be too pessimistic on three major counts: First, emerging economies (and China in particular) could show greater willingness and ability to unleash domestic consumption; second, the balance sheets of central banks in industrial countries could indeed be used very aggressively without undermining inflationary expectations and fueling a political reaction; and third, some of the remarkable scientific advances could translate quickly into massive productivity gains.

These three factors would facilitate economic growth in industrial countries. And growth is critical for enhancing the capacity of the world economy to deal with its balance sheet problems, reverse the involvement of governments in markets and, thereby, reduce the likelihood of government failures following the recent string of market failures.

On the other hand, the baseline could be too optimistic on (also) three major counts: First, households and companies could embark upon a renewed cycle of self-insurance in reaction to the medium-term uncertainties facing the global economy. This paradox of thrift would further weaken the growth and debt dynamics; it would also increase the risk of trade protectionism. Second, some of the super-secular issues (such as climate change, demographics and the atomization of societies) could play out in secular time, significantly increasing the structural headwinds facing the global economy. Third, the world could face a geopolitical shock, either because of frictions and tensions between certain nation-states or due to vulnerability to acts of terrorism perpetrated by small groups or individuals.

In Conclusion
We are living through a remarkable time of change for the global economy, where several anchoring parameters have become variables. It is a time of friction, collisions and renewal as we journey to a de-levered and re-regulated world with weaker growth dynamics in industrial countries and less political enthusiasm for unfettered globalization and markets.

This brings us back to the image of a car that, having used its spare tire(s), is still embarked on a bumpy road through unfamiliar territory and to a less-than-stable destination. Parts of the car are up for this journey; others will likely hold up but in a tentative and fragile manner; and yet others will fail.

For investors, this translates into a secular period of changing risks and opportunities:

  • The distribution of global outcomes is going through a transformation, both in terms of overall shape (flatter) and tails (fatter);
  • It is a world where several of the old simplifying adages that once brought comfort to investors – such as industrial country governments constitute interest rate risk while emerging economies involve credit risk – require considerable refinement;
  • It is a world that calls for a broader investment universe and guidelines and, for those who use them, revamped benchmarks that better capture the world of today and tomorrow rather than that of yesterday;
  • It is a world of significant country, regional and instrument differentiation when it comes to harvesting equity and credit premiums in high-quality corporates, financials and emerging markets;
  • It is a world where the currencies of the emerging (as opposed to submerging) economies will continue to warrant a greater allocation over time; and
  • It is a world where the safest of carry will come from duration and curve in sovereigns that, due to their economic and financial fundamentals, are truly core countries in the midst of this global paradigm shift…’

Look How the Federal Budget Deficit Will Exceed $1 Trillion Again Wall St. Cheat Sheet ‘Yesterday the Federal Budget Deficit reminded us that even during the season when Uncle Sam collects your taxes — 45% more than last year — we still can’t create a surplus! Superficially, we can blame the recent economic crisis for the issue. However, if we dig deeper into the historical data, below we can see politicians have been out of control for decades. More specifically, the fall of 2001 kicked off a drunken binge on Federal deficit spending (Click for Larger Image) We haven’t seen a single budget surplus since the economic crisis, and future budget projections from the Congressional Budget Office indicate we shouldn’t sit on the shore waiting for one to dock anytime soon. Check Out “CHART OF THE DAY: Watch the US Debt Set a 60 Year Record“. In fact, the CBO increased their annual deficit projection for 2011 from $1.1 trillion to $1.5 trillion — the third straight year of $1 trillion-plus deficits. The record monthly deficit of $222.5 billion in February beat last February’s record by almost $2 billion. At least we didn’t set a new record so soon.’ Debt ceiling battles have negotiation experts shaking their heads Professional negotiators weigh in on lawmakers’ inept attempts to negotiate the national debt ceiling. (Washington Post) [ Boehner seeks more than $2 trillion in cuts (Washington Post) [ I’m sure I’m not alone in thinking ‘Riiiiight! … that’ll happen … and all without cuts to endless war spending … while the situation’s more than that dire, the advice is … don’t hold your breath! Milbank: The GOP’s juvenile debate (Washington Post) [ Mr. Milbank has lamentably become the rush limbaugh / sean hannity of the newspaper world, though he barks and apologizes for dems (and wobama the b for b*** s***) only (as they for the gop / bushies only). A political minefield in Treasury plan (Washington Post) [ What plan! . Let the budget battle begin Congress returns to fight over the nation’s solvency. (WP) [ Stated another way, the nation’s solvency is over. .. america’s defacto bankrupt with no end in sight.. interest alone is eating progressively into GDP beyond the subterfuge.. Gerson: How serious are we about the deficit? (WP) [ Not much! I mean come on! Davis ‘… This is how we pay off our current debts and I think bondholders are simply happy to get anything out of a country that admits it owes $15Tn (1/4 of global GDP) but probably owes closer to $60Tn (entire global GDP) in the form of unfunded liabilities. The funniest thing about this (and you have to laugh) is to see Conservative pundits get on TV and talk about how we need to cut $100Bn worth of discretionary spending to "fix" this (while continuing to spend $1Tn on the military and $1Tn on tax cuts for the top 1% each year). There is no fixing this and even a Republican said you can’t fool all of the people all of the time. THIS HOUSE OF CARDS IS TEETERING FOLKS – PLEASE BE CAREFUL OUT THERE! ‘ Suckers’ rally to keep suckers suckered: Philadelphia Fed Depresses Economists Durden ‘..the Philadelphia Fed collapsed from a revised 43.4 (a 27 year high) to 18.5, the lowest since November 2010… This is an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! U.S. Economy Remains on Life Support Hansen ‘

CIVIL RIGHTS PANEL TO PURSUE FED PROBE IN BLACK PANTHER CASE...In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims’ Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown. ):

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv ]



Hedge fund billionaire convicted of fraud Raj Rajaratnam was convicted on all 14 counts of fraud and conspiracy in the biggest insider-trading case in a generation, handing the government a victory after it was pummeled for bringing so few high-profile prosecutions out of the financial crisis. (Washington Post) [

Raj Rajaratnam Found Guilty On All Counts [ I share the following sentiments from Wall St Cheat Sheet: ‘…2) Insiders are finally getting busted. Although the media loves the Raj Rajaratnam trial and his guilty on all 14 counts, who really gives a s*** compared with what large banks, investment banks, and mortgage companies did to the US economy. So long as the Dick Fulds of the world are sipping champagne in Capri, Italy, these insider trading cases are basically sideshows…’ ] SEC urged to ease fundraising rules (Washington Post) [ REDUNDANT! I mean come on! Any more ‘easing’ and we’d be in negative territory where they actually reward you for breaking the rules which is currently the reality in pervasively corrupt, defacto bankrupt, meaningfully lawless america. Roche 'The worst part of it ...Obama, who vowed change, has done almost nothing to fix any of it and in fact continues most of the policies that helped get us here in the first place’ ‘INSIDE JOB’ Ferguson wins Oscar for Documentary on the unprosecuted massive extant fraud in the (many) TRILLIONS by the frauds on wall street ( and declares with oscar in hand that not one high level wall street exec has been prosecuted … despite ‘earning’ billiions from the fraud ). UPDATE: MORE CLAIMS OF RACE BIAS AT JUSTICE... In emotional and personal testimony, an ex-Justice official who quit over the handling of a voter intimidation case against the New Black Panther Party accused his former employer of instructing attorneys in the civil rights division to ignore cases that involve black defendants and white victims ' Cases against Wall Street lag despite Holder’s vows to target financial fraud WP | Obama has promised to hold Wall Street accountable for the meltdown.

‘THE OBAMA DECEPTION’ http://albertpeia.com/obamadeceptionhighqualityversion.flv

People must realize that though having but 5% of the world’s population, america can boast 76% of the world’s serial killers and the highest crime rates in the world by far. http://www.albertpeia.com/realifeamericaserialkillers.mpg . Defacto bankrupt, fraudulent america also spends more on military spending than all the nations of the world combined... federal employees / contractors, cia, all 3 branches of the u.s. government, etc., are included in this evolved american trait of inherent criminality ( http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/ricosummarytoFBIunderpenaltyofperjury.pdf http://www.albertpeia.com/112208opocoan/PeiavCoanetals.htm ). That perverse field of dreams I’ve previously alluded to, the american nightmare, if you build / contrive war, they will come. And, they do; seals of them (among others); and when their ‘tours’ are done, it’s murder inc./contract killing for hire that they’ve won (cia, mob, etc.). The 20th century, the ‘bloodiest century’, not coincidentally referred to as the american century, brings longings of nostalgia to american criminals who, like Pavlov’s dogs salivate at the prospect of killing, raping, pillaging, and plundering which primitive mindset they have mistakenly been conditioned to connect to their now irretrievably lost success as a nation state; and to the contrary, has become globally and domestically self-destructive / self-defeating. The entire 911 / Bin Laden scenario just doesn’t pass the smell test and reeks of political desperation and Orwellian opportunism.

AIG to sell Treasury shares The government soon will begin unloading its 92.1 percent ownership stake in the bailout company. (Washington Post) [ Who’s the unlucky sucker? Ultimately, a pension fund or two or three, etc., or maybe you or an equally unlucky member of your family. Stock market on a roll despite slowing economic growth, lingering unemployment[Also known as reality! Roll … yes, indeed … everyone’s to get rolled! ] (WP) Dow is up more than 10 percent for 2011, to its highest point in nearly three years. [ Same bubble scenario preceeding last crash (including currency manipulation); yet, far worse this time owing to insurmountable debt and defacto bankruptcy of the nation.

Fed Chairman Bernanke does reality TV (WP) [ Except the ‘NO-RECESSION HELICOPTER BEN B.S. BERNANKE’ show is scripted unreality … even with his reduction in estimate for ‘economic growth’, the frauds on wall street still rallied. Bernanke prepares to make history (WP) [ He already has! $6 gas acomin’, $1,508+ gold, $46+ silver, other commodities at record levels, hyperinflation as predicted well on the way from over-printing of fiat paper currency by fed as predicted, etc., Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar 'Despite the terrible economic performance of the past ten years, equity valuations are the 2nd largest bubble in U.S. history... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued according to this valuation metric. The only time the markets have been more overvalued was a few brief months in 1929 and the tech bubble

... growth in earnings have been artificially manufactured...

· The change in accounting rules for the financial sector by FASB has generated massive “false” account profits beginning in 2009.

· The extended (and then further extended) unemployment benefits have kept an artificially higher demand for consumer consumption. As a result, the US government has artificially subsidized corporate profits.

· The billions saved through “free loading” by homeowners who have defaulted on their mortgages yet maintained their residence, thus living without a mortgage payment.

· The artificially suppressed interest rates...

Dave's Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money-- … an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come!

24 Signs Of Economic Decline In America ‘The United States is in the middle of a devastating long-term economic decline’ ] States face shortfall for retirees]



Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding Stocks slip after three-day rally (Washington Post) [ Top 3 Reasons Markets Tanked with Oil WSCS‘DJI -1.02% SP500 -1.11% Nasdaq -0.93% Gold -0.82% Oil -4.63% at $98.88. Gold sold off ..Silver lost over 8%.

1) Commodities and Oil got slaughtered. .. widening trade gap.

2) Insiders finally getting busted.. but what about what large banks, investment banks, and mortgage companies did to the US economy…these insider trading cases are basically sideshows…

Fed official calls for vigilance (WP) [ Who’s still buying their b***s***! Much higher prices / inflation’s already here. 24 Signs Of Economic Decline In America ‘The US is in the middle of a devastating long-term economic decline’ ] States face shortfall for retirees (WP) (The frauds on wall street et als should be criminally prosecuted, jailed, fined, and disgorgement imposed), and have used the mideast turmoil to obfuscate their failure. Dave's Daily 'If you can keep interest rates this low this long, its inevitable cheap financing can allow companies to start cobbling each other up. Further Ben's policies allow companies like IBM to sell bonds at 1% and buy back shares with the proceeds (total paper bubble-scam). POMO is occurring almost daily and Primary Dealers can buy back their shares and pay dividends with what essentially is taxpayer money-- … an especially great opportunity to sell / take profits while you still can since there's much worse to come! America Is a Failed State Because It Won’t Prosecute Financial Crime Washington’s Blog / the grim economic reality [ http://albertpeia.com/grimreality.htm ]. Selling In May Is Very Good Advice This Year Harding / April Is a Good Time to Sell Adler Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar ... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued …only time the markets have been more overvalued .. 1929 & tech bubble. http://static.seekingalpha.com/uploads/2011/4/12/saupload_cape_thumb1.png PRECHTER: We're Still In A Massive Bear Market And Stocks Will Crash To New Lows Bernanke prepares to make history (WP) [ He already has! $6 gas acomin’.. hyperinflation as predicted well on the way from over-printing of fiat paper currency by fed as predicted, etc., Equity Valuations Are Forming the Second Biggest Bubble in U.S. History Kaspar 'Despite the terrible economic performance of the past ten years, equity valuations are the 2nd largest bubble in U.S. history... According to Yale University’s Dr. Robert Shiller, the market is now 41% overvalued according to this valuation metric. The only time the markets have been more overvalued was a few brief months in 1929 and the tech bubble

... growth in earnings have been artificially manufactured...

· The change in accounting rules for the financial sector by FASB has generated massive “false” account profits beginning in 2009…’

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